No notable diplomatic announcements or official statements have emerged in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by the March 31 deadline, leaving trader sentiment anchored to prior geopolitical alignments and peace initiative engagements. The Board, an international body focused on conflict resolution and multilateral diplomacy, requires formal accession processes involving foreign ministry approvals and potential UN or regional endorsements. Bettors should track upcoming foreign policy summits, bilateral negotiations, and executive actions from key nations, as late invitations or acceptances could shift probabilities before resolution. Current odds reflect trader consensus on structural barriers like domestic politics and alliance commitments in uncertain global relations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,752,156 Объем
Индия
3%
Великобритания
2%
Италия
2%
Китай
2%
Бразилия
2%
Бельгия
1%
Швеция
1%
Финляндия
1%
Франция
1%
Германия
1%
Дания
1%
Нидерланды
1%
Россия
1%
Норвегия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Палестина
<1%
Испания
<1%
Украина
<1%
$1,752,156 Объем
Индия
3%
Великобритания
2%
Италия
2%
Китай
2%
Бразилия
2%
Бельгия
1%
Швеция
1%
Финляндия
1%
Франция
1%
Германия
1%
Дания
1%
Нидерланды
1%
Россия
1%
Норвегия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Палестина
<1%
Испания
<1%
Украина
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...No notable diplomatic announcements or official statements have emerged in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by the March 31 deadline, leaving trader sentiment anchored to prior geopolitical alignments and peace initiative engagements. The Board, an international body focused on conflict resolution and multilateral diplomacy, requires formal accession processes involving foreign ministry approvals and potential UN or regional endorsements. Bettors should track upcoming foreign policy summits, bilateral negotiations, and executive actions from key nations, as late invitations or acceptances could shift probabilities before resolution. Current odds reflect trader consensus on structural barriers like domestic politics and alliance commitments in uncertain global relations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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