Trader consensus prices "embargo" at a 24% implied probability of President Trump uttering the term between March 29 and April 5, leading other outcomes like "finish the job" (22%), "Khamenei" (19%), and "paid a big price/paying a big price" (19%) in this multi-outcome market tracking his public statements via transcripts and Truth Social posts. These odds reflect Trump's recent focus on escalating US-Iran tensions, including his March 26 cabinet remarks terminating the Iran deal and ensuring Strait of Hormuz safety amid ongoing conflict, plus March 27 addresses to farmers on war impacts and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative warning of energy sector losses without deals and naming Cuba as the next military target. With no confirmed schedule for the resolution window yet, traders anticipate continuation of foreign policy rhetoric in potential press events or posts from Mar-a-Lago.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will Trump say this week? (March 29)
What will Trump say this week? (March 29)
$464,189 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
14%
Kaitlan Collins
3%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
7%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
14%
Khamenei
11%
Chuck Norris
6%
$464,189 Объем
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,865 Объем
14%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,974 Объем
3%
Eat our Lunch
$1,291 Объем
7%
Ethanol
$10,053 Объем
7%
Embargo
$8,345 Объем
14%
Finish the Job
$3,279 Объем
14%
Khamenei
$51,658 Объем
11%
Chuck Norris
$4,204 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus prices "embargo" at a 24% implied probability of President Trump uttering the term between March 29 and April 5, leading other outcomes like "finish the job" (22%), "Khamenei" (19%), and "paid a big price/paying a big price" (19%) in this multi-outcome market tracking his public statements via transcripts and Truth Social posts. These odds reflect Trump's recent focus on escalating US-Iran tensions, including his March 26 cabinet remarks terminating the Iran deal and ensuring Strait of Hormuz safety amid ongoing conflict, plus March 27 addresses to farmers on war impacts and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative warning of energy sector losses without deals and naming Cuba as the next military target. With no confirmed schedule for the resolution window yet, traders anticipate continuation of foreign policy rhetoric in potential press events or posts from Mar-a-Lago.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$464,189Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus prices "embargo" at a 24% implied probability of President Trump uttering the term between March 29 and April 5, leading other outcomes like "finish the job" (22%), "Khamenei" (19%), and "paid a big price/paying a big price" (19%) in this multi-outcome market tracking his public statements via transcripts and Truth Social posts. These odds reflect Trump's recent focus on escalating US-Iran tensions, including his March 26 cabinet remarks terminating the Iran deal and ensuring Strait of Hormuz safety amid ongoing conflict, plus March 27 addresses to farmers on war impacts and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative warning of energy sector losses without deals and naming Cuba as the next military target. With no confirmed schedule for the resolution window yet, traders anticipate continuation of foreign policy rhetoric in potential press events or posts from Mar-a-Lago.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Объем
$464,189Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "embargo" at a 24% implied probability of President Trump uttering the term between March 29 and April 5, leading other outcomes like "finish the job" (22%), "Khamenei" (19%), and "paid a big price/paying a big price" (19%) in this multi-outcome market tracking his public statements via transcripts and Truth Social posts. These odds reflect Trump's recent focus on escalating US-Iran tensions, including his March 26 cabinet remarks terminating the Iran deal and ensuring Strait of Hormuz safety amid ongoing conflict, plus March 27 addresses to farmers on war impacts and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative warning of energy sector losses without deals and naming Cuba as the next military target. With no confirmed schedule for the resolution window yet, traders anticipate continuation of foreign policy rhetoric in potential press events or posts from Mar-a-Lago.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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