President-elect Trump's selection of Karoline Leavitt as White House Press Secretary drives trader consensus, reflecting her background as a former campaign spokesperson known for defending administration positions on immigration, economy, and media critiques. With no official briefings yet under the incoming team—the Biden administration continues until January 20, 2025—market probabilities hinge on her anticipated messaging style, drawn from recent transition statements and past Fox News appearances emphasizing "America First" priorities. Traders weigh potential questions on cabinet confirmations, foreign policy shifts like Ukraine aid, and border security amid ongoing congressional debates. The first post-inauguration briefing, likely mid-to-late January, could pivot odds based on evolving news cycles and Trump's directives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$36,109 Объем
Regime 10+ times
56%
Go ahead 5+ times
47%
Air / Land / Sea 3+ times
71%
Capitol Hill
48%
Sponsor of Terror
65%
Boots on the Ground
48%
Ayatollah / Mojtaba
47%
Make Iran Great Again
10%
Ceasefire
28%
ICE
59%
Hormuz
92%
Hezbollah / Hamas
40%
Lebanon
68%
Qatar / UAE / Oman
51%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
81%
Democrat Shutdown
41%
Call your Democrat / Call a Democrat
36%
Why not
28%
Markwayne / Mullin
37%
Death to America
47%
Illegal Alien
62%
Threat
81%
AI / Intelligence
70%
Commander-in-Chief
66%
$36,109 Объем
Regime 10+ times
56%
Go ahead 5+ times
47%
Air / Land / Sea 3+ times
71%
Capitol Hill
48%
Sponsor of Terror
65%
Boots on the Ground
48%
Ayatollah / Mojtaba
47%
Make Iran Great Again
10%
Ceasefire
28%
ICE
59%
Hormuz
92%
Hezbollah / Hamas
40%
Lebanon
68%
Qatar / UAE / Oman
51%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
81%
Democrat Shutdown
41%
Call your Democrat / Call a Democrat
36%
Why not
28%
Markwayne / Mullin
37%
Death to America
47%
Illegal Alien
62%
Threat
81%
AI / Intelligence
70%
Commander-in-Chief
66%
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's selection of Karoline Leavitt as White House Press Secretary drives trader consensus, reflecting her background as a former campaign spokesperson known for defending administration positions on immigration, economy, and media critiques. With no official briefings yet under the incoming team—the Biden administration continues until January 20, 2025—market probabilities hinge on her anticipated messaging style, drawn from recent transition statements and past Fox News appearances emphasizing "America First" priorities. Traders weigh potential questions on cabinet confirmations, foreign policy shifts like Ukraine aid, and border security amid ongoing congressional debates. The first post-inauguration briefing, likely mid-to-late January, could pivot odds based on evolving news cycles and Trump's directives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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