Name: What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
Start: 2024-08-16T23:45:05.893942Z
End: 2024-08-22T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group on what words Kamala Harris will say during her acceptance speech for her nomination as Democratic candidate for President of the United States.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "context" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "context" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the background information that gives meaning to a situation.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "weird "or "weirdo" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "weird "or "weirdo" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who behaves unusually or oddly.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Weird/Weirdo

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word  regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Crypto/Bitcoin

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "abortion" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Abortion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Ukraine" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word  regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Ukraine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Eastern European country.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Ukraine

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Jew" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (i.e. "Jewish" would not count").

Compound words will count as long as "Jew" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who practices Judaism. 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "inflation" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Inflation

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "unburdened" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "unburdened" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to something that has no weight, load, or burden.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Unburdened

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Project 2025" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Project 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Not going back" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Not going back

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Obama" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a member of the Obama family (Barrack, Michele, etc.). 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Obama

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "McDonald's" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to fast food chain 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

McDonald's

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "joy" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Oakland" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word  regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Oakland" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the city on the east side of San Francisco Bay, in California.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Oakland

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Monkeypox" or "Mpox" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Monkeypox" or "Mpox" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the disease. 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Monkeypox

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to hostility or prejudice against Jewish people.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Antisemitism

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "ceasefire" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a temporary suspension of armed conflict.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Ceasefire

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Donald" or "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. 

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Donald Trump 5+ times

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "inflation" 3 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Inflation 3+ times

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Объявит ли Камала Харрис о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на пост президента в 2028 году до 30 июня?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Выиграет ли Гавин Ньюсом номинацию кандидата от Демократической партии на пост президента на выборах 2028 года?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.

Выиграют ли демократы все четыре ключевые сенатские гонки?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Стефани Шахин кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу NH-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Энди Левин кандидатом от демократов по округу MI-11?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Ohio.

If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Шеррод Браун кандидатом от Демократической партии в Сенат от Огайо?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Delaware.

If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Крис Кунс кандидатом от Демократической партии в сенат от Делавэра?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Уэсли Белл кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу МО-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Ричи Торрес кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу NY-15?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Hillary Clinton between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Элейн Луриа кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу VA-02?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Выиграет ли Мэллори МакМорроу праймериз Демократической партии в Мичигане в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Победит ли Джаниз Льюис Джордж на праймериз Демократической партии на пост мэра округа Колумбия в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Дэн Кох кандидатом от демократов в MA-06?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Энни Эндрюс кандидатом от Демократической партии в Сенат от Северной Каролины?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Рейли Нил кандидатом от Демократической партии в Сенат от Монтаны?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Пегги Фланаган кандидатом от демократов в Сенат от Миннесоты?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Шэннон Бёрд кандидатом от демократов по округу CO-08?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Выиграют ли демократы гонку за место в Сенате от Делавэра в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Джон Кавано кандидатом от демократов по округу NE-02?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Станет ли Джон Хикенлупер кандидатом в Сенат от демократов в Колорадо?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Шри Танедар кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу MI-13?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Валери Фуши кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу NC-04?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Мэттью Данлап кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу ME-02?

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Нейт Блуэн кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу Юты 01?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Эд Марки кандидатом в Сенат от Демократической партии в Массачусетсе?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Кристи Дэвис кандидатом в сенаторы от демократов в Канзасе?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina.

If no 2026 North Carolina Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the North Carolina Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Рой Купер кандидатом от Демократической партии в Сенат от Северной Каролины?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Поддержит ли Берни Дэна Осборна на выборах в Сенат от Небраски до 2 ноября 2026 года по восточному времени?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.

This market will resolve according to the number of Democratic Senate incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections.

An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason. Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time of their nominating election. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus prior to the conclusion of the relevant nominating election.

The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant nominating elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on official state certification of the nominating election results.

Выиграют ли все действующие сенаторы-демократы свои праймериз в цикле 2026 года?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Марк Уорнер кандидатом в Сенат от демократов в Вирджинии?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Станет ли Майка Лашер кандидатом от демократов по округу NY-12?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Джеймс Таларико кандидатом в Сенат от демократов в Техасе?

Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Кристи Ноэм подверглась импичменту в 2026 году?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Брэд Ландер кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу NY-10?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Ильхан Омар кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу MN-05?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Получит ли Скотт Винер больше всего голосов на праймериз в округе CA-11?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Дэниел Бисс кандидатом в демократические номинанты по округу IL-09?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Крис Паппас кандидатом от Демократической партии в Сенат от Нью-Гэмпшира?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Станет ли Кайл Свитсер кандидатом в Сенат от Демократической партии в Алабаме?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Мэтт Кляйн кандидатом от демократов по округу MN-02?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Объявит ли Лиз Чейни о президентском участии до 2027 года?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem ceases to be the Secretary of Homeland Security for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Noem's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Кристи Ноэм уйдёт до 31 марта?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Сидни Мур кандидатом в демократы по округу IL-02?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Будет ли Бет Дэвидсон кандидатом от Демократической партии по округу NY-17?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Mississippi.

If no 2026 Mississippi Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Mississippi Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Будет ли Скотт Колом кандидатом от демократов в Сенат от Миссисипи?

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the Canadian New Democratic Party Leadership election scheduled for March 29, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official New Democratic Party announcements; if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

If no official winner has been declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Not going back
$247,211 Объем
Yes

Weird/Weirdo
$186,535 Объем
No

Abortion
$334,526 Объем
Yes

Ceasefire
$385,554 Объем
Yes

Inflation
$28,999 Объем
No

Inflation 3+ times
$198,452 Объем
No

Unburdened
$105,623 Объем
No

Donald Trump 5+ times
$120,578 Объем
Yes

Jew
$159,905 Объем
No

Monkeypox
$107,106 Объем
No

Context
$49,589 Объем
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$74,732 Объем
No

Joy
$2,859,508 Объем
No

Ukraine
$33,917 Объем
Yes

McDonald's
$38,486 Объем
No

Project 2025
$101,265 Объем
Yes

Antisemitism
$23,117 Объем
No

Obama
$45,647 Объем
No

Oakland
$93,164 Объем
Yes

Контекст Рынка

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Правила

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Контекст Рынка

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

О событии

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Not going back$247,211 ОбъемYes

Weird/Weirdo$186,535 ОбъемNo

Abortion$334,526 ОбъемYes

Ceasefire$385,554 ОбъемYes

Inflation$28,999 ОбъемNo

Inflation 3+ times$198,452 ОбъемNo

Unburdened$105,623 ОбъемNo

Donald Trump 5+ times$120,578 ОбъемYes

Jew$159,905 ОбъемNo

Monkeypox$107,106 ОбъемNo

Context$49,589 ОбъемNo

Crypto/Bitcoin$74,732 ОбъемNo

Joy$2,859,508 ОбъемNo

Ukraine$33,917 ОбъемYes

McDonald's$38,486 ОбъемNo

Project 2025$101,265 ОбъемYes

Antisemitism$23,117 ОбъемNo

Obama$45,647 ОбъемNo

Oakland$93,164 ОбъемYes

Контекст Рынка

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Правила

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

Контекст Рынка

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

О событии

Not going back
$247,211 Объем
Yes

Weird/Weirdo
$186,535 Объем
No

Abortion
$334,526 Объем
Yes

Ceasefire
$385,554 Объем
Yes

Inflation
$28,999 Объем
No

Inflation 3+ times
$198,452 Объем
No

Unburdened
$105,623 Объем
No

Donald Trump 5+ times
$120,578 Объем
Yes

Jew
$159,905 Объем
No

Monkeypox
$107,106 Объем
No

Context
$49,589 Объем
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$74,732 Объем
No

Joy
$2,859,508 Объем
No

Ukraine
$33,917 Объем
Yes

McDonald's
$38,486 Объем
No

Project 2025
$101,265 Объем
Yes

Antisemitism
$23,117 Объем
No

Obama
$45,647 Объем
No

Oakland
$93,164 Объем
Yes