The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year and a softening labor market with unemployment rising to 4.4% amid 92,000 nonfarm payroll losses. The updated dot plot projects a median rate of 3.4% by end-2026—implying one 25 basis point cut—and low-3% levels by 2027, with a hawkish shift showing fewer participants expecting multiple cuts due to persistent inflation risks. Traders monitor the April 10 March CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC for catalysts, as Treasury yields hover near 3.9% on the 5-year note and CME FedWatch implies low near-term cut odds, underscoring policy caution amid balanced growth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто ударит по ставке ФРС до 2027 года?
Что ударит по ставке ФРС до 2027 года?
$1,267,371 Объем
↑ 5,5%
4%
↑ 5,25%
6%
↑ 5,0%
3%
↑ 4,75%
4%
↑ 4,5%
5%
↑ 4,25%
10%
↓ 3,25%
64%
↓ 3,0%
38%
↓ 2,75%
20%
↓ 2,5%
15%
↓ 2,25%
11%
↓ 2,0%
13%
↓ 1,75%
9%
↓ 1,5%
10%
↓ 1,25%
26%
↓ 1,0%
10%
↓ 0,75%
9%
↓ 0,5%
6%
↓ 0,25%
7%
↓ 0%
6%
$1,267,371 Объем
↑ 5,5%
4%
↑ 5,25%
6%
↑ 5,0%
3%
↑ 4,75%
4%
↑ 4,5%
5%
↑ 4,25%
10%
↓ 3,25%
64%
↓ 3,0%
38%
↓ 2,75%
20%
↓ 2,5%
15%
↓ 2,25%
11%
↓ 2,0%
13%
↓ 1,75%
9%
↓ 1,5%
10%
↓ 1,25%
26%
↓ 1,0%
10%
↓ 0,75%
9%
↓ 0,5%
6%
↓ 0,25%
7%
↓ 0%
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Открытие рынка: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year and a softening labor market with unemployment rising to 4.4% amid 92,000 nonfarm payroll losses. The updated dot plot projects a median rate of 3.4% by end-2026—implying one 25 basis point cut—and low-3% levels by 2027, with a hawkish shift showing fewer participants expecting multiple cuts due to persistent inflation risks. Traders monitor the April 10 March CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC for catalysts, as Treasury yields hover near 3.9% on the 5-year note and CME FedWatch implies low near-term cut odds, underscoring policy caution amid balanced growth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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