US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,255,884 Объем
Jan 31, 2026
31 марта
1%
30 июня
14%
$1,255,884 Объем
31 марта
$2,432 Объем
1%
30 июня
$173,363 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$1,255,884Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,255,884Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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