US special forces briefly entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during a targeted operation framed as countering drug trafficking, with troops withdrawing immediately after. No US military redeployment or further entry has occurred since, despite ongoing political transition in Venezuela under interim leadership and US control of oil exports via authorizations to firms like Chevron. Maduro's recent March 26 court appearance in New York saw a judge signal no dismissal of drug charges, amid diplomatic re-engagement but no signals of renewed military action. Traders monitor Venezuelan stability, potential unrest from holdouts like Diosdado Cabello, and US congressional war powers resolutions limiting future interventions without authorization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,253,452 Объем
Jan 31, 2026
31 марта
3%
30 июня
14%
$1,253,452 Объем
31 марта
$0 Объем
3%
30 июня
$173,363 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces briefly entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during a targeted operation framed as countering drug trafficking, with troops withdrawing immediately after. No US military redeployment or further entry has occurred since, despite ongoing political transition in Venezuela under interim leadership and US control of oil exports via authorizations to firms like Chevron. Maduro's recent March 26 court appearance in New York saw a judge signal no dismissal of drug charges, amid diplomatic re-engagement but no signals of renewed military action. Traders monitor Venezuelan stability, potential unrest from holdouts like Diosdado Cabello, and US congressional war powers resolutions limiting future interventions without authorization.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$1,253,452Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces briefly entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during a targeted operation framed as countering drug trafficking, with troops withdrawing immediately after. No US military redeployment or further entry has occurred since, despite ongoing political transition in Venezuela under interim leadership and US control of oil exports via authorizations to firms like Chevron. Maduro's recent March 26 court appearance in New York saw a judge signal no dismissal of drug charges, amid diplomatic re-engagement but no signals of renewed military action. Traders monitor Venezuelan stability, potential unrest from holdouts like Diosdado Cabello, and US congressional war powers resolutions limiting future interventions without authorization.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,253,452Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces briefly entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes and capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during a targeted operation framed as countering drug trafficking, with troops withdrawing immediately after. No US military redeployment or further entry has occurred since, despite ongoing political transition in Venezuela under interim leadership and US control of oil exports via authorizations to firms like Chevron. Maduro's recent March 26 court appearance in New York saw a judge signal no dismissal of drug charges, amid diplomatic re-engagement but no signals of renewed military action. Traders monitor Venezuelan stability, potential unrest from holdouts like Diosdado Cabello, and US congressional war powers resolutions limiting future interventions without authorization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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