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Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?

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Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,797 Объем

Polymarket

April 30

$1,567 Объем

42%

30 июня

$1,231 Объем

52%

Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, citing "essentially zero evidence" of misconduct tied to Fed building renovations and suggesting political pressure over interest rates, severely hobbling the Trump administration's probe launched in January. Recent March 26 hearings revealed DOJ admissions of lacking proof, fueling calls to drop it, yet President Trump insists on continuation, stalling his Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's confirmation amid Senate holds. Powell vows to remain on the Fed board past his May chair term until resolved. Traders imply 52% consensus for dropping by June 30 versus 34% by April 30, balancing judicial barriers against executive persistence and nomination pressures.

A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, citing "essentially zero evidence" of misconduct tied to Fed building renovations and suggesting political pressure over interest rates, severely hobbling the Trump administration's probe launched in January. Recent March 26 hearings revealed DOJ admissions of lacking proof, fueling calls to drop it, yet President Trump insists on continuation, stalling his Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's confirmation amid Senate holds. Powell vows to remain on the Fed board past his May chair term until resolved. Traders imply 52% consensus for dropping by June 30 versus 34% by April 30, balancing judicial barriers against executive persistence and nomination pressures.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, citing "essentially zero evidence" of misconduct tied to Fed building renovations and suggesting political pressure over interest rates, severely hobbling the Trump administration's probe launched in January. Recent March 26 hearings revealed DOJ admissions of lacking proof, fueling calls to drop it, yet President Trump insists on continuation, stalling his Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's confirmation amid Senate holds. Powell vows to remain on the Fed board past his May chair term until resolved. Traders imply 52% consensus for dropping by June 30 versus 34% by April 30, balancing judicial barriers against executive persistence and nomination pressures.

A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, citing "essentially zero evidence" of misconduct tied to Fed building renovations and suggesting political pressure over interest rates, severely hobbling the Trump administration's probe launched in January. Recent March 26 hearings revealed DOJ admissions of lacking proof, fueling calls to drop it, yet President Trump insists on continuation, stalling his Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's confirmation amid Senate holds. Powell vows to remain on the Fed board past his May chair term until resolved. Traders imply 52% consensus for dropping by June 30 versus 34% by April 30, balancing judicial barriers against executive persistence and nomination pressures.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 июня» с 52%, за ним следует «April 30» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 52¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?» — «30 июня» с 52%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Следующий ближайший исход — «April 30» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Трамп прекращает расследование Пауэлла на...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.