A federal judge's March 31 injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction, ruling it requires express congressional authorization, driving the 92% trader consensus against unblocking by April 30. Despite the National Capital Planning Commission's April 2 approval of the design, work remains stalled amid the legal hold. The administration filed an emergency appeals court motion yesterday, arguing national security risks from the pause, but procedural timelines in federal courts—often spanning weeks or months—cast doubt on swift resolution. Absent rapid appellate intervention or congressional action, traders see significant barriers to resuming before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's March 31 injunction halted President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom construction, ruling it requires express congressional authorization, driving the 92% trader consensus against unblocking by April 30. Despite the National Capital Planning Commission's April 2 approval of the design, work remains stalled amid the legal hold. The administration filed an emergency appeals court motion yesterday, arguing national security risks from the pause, but procedural timelines in federal courts—often spanning weeks or months—cast doubt on swift resolution. Absent rapid appellate intervention or congressional action, traders see significant barriers to resuming before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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