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Политика·Сенат Техаса

Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса

Market icon
Политика·Сенат Техаса

Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса

Талрико и Пакстон 65%

Таларико и Корнин 34%

Другие <1%

Крокетт и Пакстон <1%

Polymarket

$647,081 Объем

Талрико и Пакстон 65%

Таларико и Корнин 34%

Другие <1%

Крокетт и Пакстон <1%

Polymarket

$647,081 Объем

Талрико и Пакстон

$241,235 Объем

65%

Таларико и Корнин

$166,250 Объем

34%

Другие

$26,364 Объем

1%

Крокетт и Пакстон

$104,036 Объем

<1%

Крокетт и Корнин

$64,035 Объем

<1%

Таларико и Хант

$22,572 Объем

<1%

Крокетт и Хант

$22,592 Объем

<1%

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas U.S. Senate by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, positioning him as the general election challenger to the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Traders imply a 64.5% chance of a Talarico-Paxton matchup, reflecting post-primary polls like GQR's 47-42% Paxton lead in the GOP runoff and his edge among the party base, bolstered by President Trump's post-primary endorsement pledge. Cornyn's 33.5% odds stem from recent healthcare endorsements and tight surveys showing him gaining ground, amid GOP fears Paxton could be a weaker general election foe against the polling-competitive Talarico.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$647,081
Дата окончания
3 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas U.S. Senate by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, positioning him as the general election challenger to the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Traders imply a 64.5% chance of a Talarico-Paxton matchup, reflecting post-primary polls like GQR's 47-42% Paxton lead in the GOP runoff and his edge among the party base, bolstered by President Trump's post-primary endorsement pledge. Cornyn's 33.5% odds stem from recent healthcare endorsements and tight surveys showing him gaining ground, amid GOP fears Paxton could be a weaker general election foe against the polling-competitive Talarico.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$647,081
Дата окончания
3 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Талрико и Пакстон» с 65%, за ним следует «Таларико и Корнин» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 65¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $647.1K с момента запуска рынка Feb 19, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса» — «Талрико и Пакстон» с 65%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Таларико и Корнин» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.