Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by reports from Reuters and Bloomberg that the company aims to file its prospectus this week for a potential June 2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. Starlink's explosive satellite broadband growth, with projected $24 billion annual revenue, alongside Starship's reusable launch milestones and dominance in orbital deployment, underpin this positioning amid surging private share prices exceeding $600 per share. Higher brackets like $2.0-2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on space economy expansion, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst; public market scrutiny on sustaining such premiums remains a key uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.854T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$790,425 Объем
$790,425 Объем
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$790,425 Объем
$790,425 Объем
<1.0T
$9,460 Объем
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$6,681 Объем
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$8,582 Объем
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,478 Объем
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$380,770 Объем
5%
3.0T-3.5T
$332,682 Объем
3%
3,5T+
$9,310 Объем
2%
No IPO before 2028
$37,183 Объем
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by reports from Reuters and Bloomberg that the company aims to file its prospectus this week for a potential June 2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. Starlink's explosive satellite broadband growth, with projected $24 billion annual revenue, alongside Starship's reusable launch milestones and dominance in orbital deployment, underpin this positioning amid surging private share prices exceeding $600 per share. Higher brackets like $2.0-2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on space economy expansion, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst; public market scrutiny on sustaining such premiums remains a key uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Объем
$790,425Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by reports from Reuters and Bloomberg that the company aims to file its prospectus this week for a potential June 2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. Starlink's explosive satellite broadband growth, with projected $24 billion annual revenue, alongside Starship's reusable launch milestones and dominance in orbital deployment, underpin this positioning amid surging private share prices exceeding $600 per share. Higher brackets like $2.0-2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on space economy expansion, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst; public market scrutiny on sustaining such premiums remains a key uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$790,425Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by reports from Reuters and Bloomberg that the company aims to file its prospectus this week for a potential June 2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise. Starlink's explosive satellite broadband growth, with projected $24 billion annual revenue, alongside Starship's reusable launch milestones and dominance in orbital deployment, underpin this positioning amid surging private share prices exceeding $600 per share. Higher brackets like $2.0-2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on space economy expansion, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst; public market scrutiny on sustaining such premiums remains a key uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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