Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), propelled by March 25 reports from The Information and Reuters that the company plans to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive growth—now exceeding 9,500 satellites with surging commercial revenue dwarfing NASA contracts—anchors this positioning, alongside Starship reusability milestones and the February xAI merger enabling orbital AI compute via the TERAFAB project. Secondary market valuations hover near $1.1–1.2 trillion, but public market skepticism on profitability could cap upside, with a June listing eyed amid regulatory reviews.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.855T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$853,387 Объем
$853,387 Объем
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$853,387 Объем
$853,387 Объем
<1.0T
$9,639 Объем
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$6,865 Объем
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$8,959 Объем
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,631 Объем
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$383,608 Объем
5%
3.0T-3.5T
$342,227 Объем
3%
3,5T+
$9,421 Объем
2%
No IPO before 2028
$84,036 Объем
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), propelled by March 25 reports from The Information and Reuters that the company plans to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive growth—now exceeding 9,500 satellites with surging commercial revenue dwarfing NASA contracts—anchors this positioning, alongside Starship reusability milestones and the February xAI merger enabling orbital AI compute via the TERAFAB project. Secondary market valuations hover near $1.1–1.2 trillion, but public market skepticism on profitability could cap upside, with a June listing eyed amid regulatory reviews.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Объем
$853,387Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), propelled by March 25 reports from The Information and Reuters that the company plans to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive growth—now exceeding 9,500 satellites with surging commercial revenue dwarfing NASA contracts—anchors this positioning, alongside Starship reusability milestones and the February xAI merger enabling orbital AI compute via the TERAFAB project. Secondary market valuations hover near $1.1–1.2 trillion, but public market skepticism on profitability could cap upside, with a June listing eyed amid regulatory reviews.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$853,387Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), propelled by March 25 reports from The Information and Reuters that the company plans to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive growth—now exceeding 9,500 satellites with surging commercial revenue dwarfing NASA contracts—anchors this positioning, alongside Starship reusability milestones and the February xAI merger enabling orbital AI compute via the TERAFAB project. Secondary market valuations hover near $1.1–1.2 trillion, but public market skepticism on profitability could cap upside, with a June listing eyed amid regulatory reviews.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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