Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability as the Slovenian parliamentary election winner following official results from the April 24, 2022, vote under the proportional representation system, where GS captured 34.5% of votes and 41 of 90 seats in the National Assembly—well ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 23% and 27 seats. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this outcome, including no successful legal disputes, recounts, or irregularities claims. Coalition formation proceeded smoothly with GS leading a center-left government. Realistic challenges would require late-breaking court rulings overturning results or verified fraud, though institutional safeguards and lack of evidence make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Словении
Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении
$4,368,523 Объем
$4,368,523 Объем
Mar 22, 2026
Движение Свобода (ГС)
99%
Словенская демократическая партия (СДС)
<1%
$4,368,523 Объем
$4,368,523 Объем
Mar 22, 2026
Движение Свобода (ГС)
$1,985,486 Объем
99%
Словенская демократическая партия (СДС)
$2,383,037 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability as the Slovenian parliamentary election winner following official results from the April 24, 2022, vote under the proportional representation system, where GS captured 34.5% of votes and 41 of 90 seats in the National Assembly—well ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 23% and 27 seats. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this outcome, including no successful legal disputes, recounts, or irregularities claims. Coalition formation proceeded smoothly with GS leading a center-left government. Realistic challenges would require late-breaking court rulings overturning results or verified fraud, though institutional safeguards and lack of evidence make such shifts improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
Объем
$4,368,523Дата окончания
Mar 22, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability as the Slovenian parliamentary election winner following official results from the April 24, 2022, vote under the proportional representation system, where GS captured 34.5% of votes and 41 of 90 seats in the National Assembly—well ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 23% and 27 seats. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this outcome, including no successful legal disputes, recounts, or irregularities claims. Coalition formation proceeded smoothly with GS leading a center-left government. Realistic challenges would require late-breaking court rulings overturning results or verified fraud, though institutional safeguards and lack of evidence make such shifts improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$4,368,523Дата окончания
Mar 22, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Freedom Movement (GS) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability as the Slovenian parliamentary election winner following official results from the April 24, 2022, vote under the proportional representation system, where GS captured 34.5% of votes and 41 of 90 seats in the National Assembly—well ahead of Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 23% and 27 seats. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this outcome, including no successful legal disputes, recounts, or irregularities claims. Coalition formation proceeded smoothly with GS leading a center-left government. Realistic challenges would require late-breaking court rulings overturning results or verified fraud, though institutional safeguards and lack of evidence make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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