Recent Ipsos polls from late March 2026 show Fuerza Popular (FP) leading congressional voting intention at 14.6% in a national simulacro, closely followed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field with over 30 presidential candidates splitting the vote on April 12. This trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments, positions FP as the favorite to secure the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's strong presidential polling. RP gains from Rafael López Aliaga's right-wing momentum, while JP holds third on center-left appeal, though no party nears a congressional majority. Ongoing instability since February's presidential ouster underscores uncertainty ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату депутатов Перу
Победитель выборов в Палату депутатов Перу
FP 42%
RP 24%
JP 21.2%
APP 1.9%
$30,643 Объем
$30,643 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
FP
42%
PL
<1%
AP
<1%
APP
2%
AvP
<1%
RP
24%
SP
2%
PP
<1%
JP
21%
FP 42%
RP 24%
JP 21.2%
APP 1.9%
$30,643 Объем
$30,643 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
FP
$3,908 Объем
42%
PL
$757 Объем
<1%
AP
$7,599 Объем
<1%
APP
$3,584 Объем
2%
AvP
$611 Объем
<1%
RP
$2,080 Объем
24%
SP
$3,195 Объем
2%
PP
$1,606 Объем
<1%
JP
$7,302 Объем
21%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent Ipsos polls from late March 2026 show Fuerza Popular (FP) leading congressional voting intention at 14.6% in a national simulacro, closely followed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field with over 30 presidential candidates splitting the vote on April 12. This trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments, positions FP as the favorite to secure the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's strong presidential polling. RP gains from Rafael López Aliaga's right-wing momentum, while JP holds third on center-left appeal, though no party nears a congressional majority. Ongoing instability since February's presidential ouster underscores uncertainty ahead of election day.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Объем
$30,643Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent Ipsos polls from late March 2026 show Fuerza Popular (FP) leading congressional voting intention at 14.6% in a national simulacro, closely followed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field with over 30 presidential candidates splitting the vote on April 12. This trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments, positions FP as the favorite to secure the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's strong presidential polling. RP gains from Rafael López Aliaga's right-wing momentum, while JP holds third on center-left appeal, though no party nears a congressional majority. Ongoing instability since February's presidential ouster underscores uncertainty ahead of election day.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Объем
$30,643Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Ipsos polls from late March 2026 show Fuerza Popular (FP) leading congressional voting intention at 14.6% in a national simulacro, closely followed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field with over 30 presidential candidates splitting the vote on April 12. This trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments, positions FP as the favorite to secure the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's strong presidential polling. RP gains from Rafael López Aliaga's right-wing momentum, while JP holds third on center-left appeal, though no party nears a congressional majority. Ongoing instability since February's presidential ouster underscores uncertainty ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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