Incumbent Democratic Rep. Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-area stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party. Recent passage of the March 10 candidate filing deadline confirmed Boyle's easy path through the May 19 Democratic primary against low-funded challenger Salem Snow, while Republican Jessica Arriaga or Andrew Garraway faces long odds in a district where Boyle won 71% in 2024 amid $4.8 million cash-on-hand. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, reflecting incumbency advantages and historical blue dominance. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health events, legal issues, or a national GOP wave, though structural barriers are high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-02
$10,717 Объем
$10,717 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$10,717 Объем
$10,717 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$10,717 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-area stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party. Recent passage of the March 10 candidate filing deadline confirmed Boyle's easy path through the May 19 Democratic primary against low-funded challenger Salem Snow, while Republican Jessica Arriaga or Andrew Garraway faces long odds in a district where Boyle won 71% in 2024 amid $4.8 million cash-on-hand. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, reflecting incumbency advantages and historical blue dominance. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health events, legal issues, or a national GOP wave, though structural barriers are high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$10,717Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-area stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party. Recent passage of the March 10 candidate filing deadline confirmed Boyle's easy path through the May 19 Democratic primary against low-funded challenger Salem Snow, while Republican Jessica Arriaga or Andrew Garraway faces long odds in a district where Boyle won 71% in 2024 amid $4.8 million cash-on-hand. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, reflecting incumbency advantages and historical blue dominance. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health events, legal issues, or a national GOP wave, though structural barriers are high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,717Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, a Philadelphia-area stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index, driving trader consensus to 94.5% for the Democratic Party. Recent passage of the March 10 candidate filing deadline confirmed Boyle's easy path through the May 19 Democratic primary against low-funded challenger Salem Snow, while Republican Jessica Arriaga or Andrew Garraway faces long odds in a district where Boyle won 71% in 2024 amid $4.8 million cash-on-hand. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic, reflecting incumbency advantages and historical blue dominance. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health events, legal issues, or a national GOP wave, though structural barriers are high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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