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Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-13

Market icon
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-13

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Демократическая партия

$0 Объем

78%

Республиканская партия

$0 Объем

18%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Emilia Sykes maintains a polling lead of 10–15 points over Republican challenger Brian Kazy in Ohio's 13th Congressional District, a battleground encompassing Akron and Canton where she won by just 3 points in 2022, positioning Democrats as the 59% trader consensus favorite. Sykes' fundraising edge—$1.6 million cash-on-hand versus Kazy's $180,000 as of late October—supports heavy ad buys targeting key voting blocs like independents and suburban women. No major catalysts emerged in the past week following their October 18 debate, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election; GOP pricing at 17.5% reflects Kazy's lower name recognition and national headwinds for House Republicans in similar swing districts.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Emilia Sykes maintains a polling lead of 10–15 points over Republican challenger Brian Kazy in Ohio's 13th Congressional District, a battleground encompassing Akron and Canton where she won by just 3 points in 2022, positioning Democrats as the 59% trader consensus favorite. Sykes' fundraising edge—$1.6 million cash-on-hand versus Kazy's $180,000 as of late October—supports heavy ad buys targeting key voting blocs like independents and suburban women. No major catalysts emerged in the past week following their October 18 debate, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election; GOP pricing at 17.5% reflects Kazy's lower name recognition and national headwinds for House Republicans in similar swing districts.

Incumbent Rep. Emilia Sykes maintains a polling lead of 10–15 points over Republican challenger Brian Kazy in Ohio's 13th Congressional District, a battleground encompassing Akron and Canton where she won by just 3 points in 2022, positioning Democrats as the 59% trader consensus favorite. Sykes' fundraising edge—$1.6 million cash-on-hand versus Kazy's $180,000 as of late October—supports heavy ad buys targeting key voting blocs like independents and suburban women. No major catalysts emerged in the past week following their October 18 debate, with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election; GOP pricing at 17.5% reflects Kazy's lower name recognition and national headwinds for House Republicans in similar swing districts.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-13» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Демократическая партия» с 78%, за ним следует «Республиканская партия» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 78¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-13» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Dec 16, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-13», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-13» — «Демократическая партия» с 78%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Республиканская партия» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-13» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.