Derek Merrin leads Polymarket odds at 50.5% for the OH-09 Republican primary due to his commanding position in the latest March 2024 Buckeye Battleground Poll (31% support), superior fundraising ($607K raised vs. rivals' lower totals), and endorsements from Ohio Right to Life, NRA, and local GOP figures, bolstered by his incumbency as a state representative with strong name recognition in the Toledo-area district. Madison Sheahan trails at 17% on momentum from her Virginia gubernatorial staff experience and conservative outsider appeal, while fragmented support for Josh Williams (13.2%), Alea Nadeem (13.6%), and others dilutes challengers ahead of the March 19 primary. No major shifts in the past 48 hours, with traders betting on Merrin's organizational edge in this open-seat race post-redistricting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДерек Меррин 56%
Джош Уильямс 18.4%
Мэдисон Шиэн 17%
Алеа Надим 13.3%
Дерек Меррин
56%
Джош Уильямс
15%
Мэдисон Шиэн
17%
Алеа Надим
13%
Джейкоб Фрост
11%
Энтони Кэмпбелл
2%
Уэйн Кинсел
11%
Дерек Меррин 56%
Джош Уильямс 18.4%
Мэдисон Шиэн 17%
Алеа Надим 13.3%
Дерек Меррин
56%
Джош Уильямс
15%
Мэдисон Шиэн
17%
Алеа Надим
13%
Джейкоб Фрост
11%
Энтони Кэмпбелл
2%
Уэйн Кинсел
11%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Derek Merrin leads Polymarket odds at 50.5% for the OH-09 Republican primary due to his commanding position in the latest March 2024 Buckeye Battleground Poll (31% support), superior fundraising ($607K raised vs. rivals' lower totals), and endorsements from Ohio Right to Life, NRA, and local GOP figures, bolstered by his incumbency as a state representative with strong name recognition in the Toledo-area district. Madison Sheahan trails at 17% on momentum from her Virginia gubernatorial staff experience and conservative outsider appeal, while fragmented support for Josh Williams (13.2%), Alea Nadeem (13.6%), and others dilutes challengers ahead of the March 19 primary. No major shifts in the past 48 hours, with traders betting on Merrin's organizational edge in this open-seat race post-redistricting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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