Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding 93% trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary stems from his status as the first major candidate announcing on March 11 for Sen. Markwayne Mullin's open seat, triggered by Mullin's DHS secretary nomination, coupled with swift endorsements from President Trump on March 13, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and Sen. Tim Scott on March 19. Early polling from Pulse Decision Science shows Hern leading hypothetical matchups against Gov. Kevin Stitt (52%-40%) and Rep. Stephanie Bice (49%-37%), who declined to run. With candidate filing April 1-3 ahead of the June 16 primary, a high-profile entrant or unexpected scandal could erode his lead, though deep-red Oklahoma dynamics favor the endorsed frontrunner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в республиканский сенат Оклахомы
Победитель первичных выборов в республиканский сенат Оклахомы
Кевин Херн 93%
Ник Хэнкинс 2.4%
Джон М. О’Коннор 1.4%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон 1.4%
Кевин Херн
93%
Ник Хэнкинс
2%
Джон М. О’Коннор
1%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон
1%
Стефани Байс
1%
Мэтт Пиннелл
1%
Марквейн Маллин
1%
Тэмми Свиренджин
1%
Рон Майнхардт
1%
Донелл Хардер
<1%
Кевин Херн 93%
Ник Хэнкинс 2.4%
Джон М. О’Коннор 1.4%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон 1.4%
Кевин Херн
93%
Ник Хэнкинс
2%
Джон М. О’Коннор
1%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон
1%
Стефани Байс
1%
Мэтт Пиннелл
1%
Марквейн Маллин
1%
Тэмми Свиренджин
1%
Рон Майнхардт
1%
Донелл Хардер
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding 93% trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary stems from his status as the first major candidate announcing on March 11 for Sen. Markwayne Mullin's open seat, triggered by Mullin's DHS secretary nomination, coupled with swift endorsements from President Trump on March 13, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and Sen. Tim Scott on March 19. Early polling from Pulse Decision Science shows Hern leading hypothetical matchups against Gov. Kevin Stitt (52%-40%) and Rep. Stephanie Bice (49%-37%), who declined to run. With candidate filing April 1-3 ahead of the June 16 primary, a high-profile entrant or unexpected scandal could erode his lead, though deep-red Oklahoma dynamics favor the endorsed frontrunner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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