John E. Sununu dominates trader consensus at 91% implied probability for the New Hampshire Republican Senate primary, driven by his formidable resume as former three-term governor and two-term U.S. senator, offering unmatched name recognition and proven fundraising prowess in the state's small, retail-politics environment. Recent polling aggregates place him well ahead of the nascent field, with no major challengers emerging since Governor Chris Sununu reconfirmed his decision against a Senate bid last month and Scott Brown—defeated in the 2014 general election—remains a longshot at 4.6%. Dan Innis trails at 3.8% after prior unsuccessful House primary runs. While Sununu's age (81) and light recent campaign trail presence pose minimal current risks, a high-profile alternative entrant, late-breaking health issues, or shifting national GOP priorities could erode his lead ahead of the 2026 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДжон Э. Сунуну 92%
Скотт Браун 4.9%
Дэн Иннис 3.6%
Крис Суницу 1.5%
Джон Э. Сунуну
92%
Скотт Браун
5%
Дэн Иннис
4%
Крис Суницу
1%
Джон Э. Сунуну 92%
Скотт Браун 4.9%
Дэн Иннис 3.6%
Крис Суницу 1.5%
Джон Э. Сунуну
92%
Скотт Браун
5%
Дэн Иннис
4%
Крис Суницу
1%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...John E. Sununu dominates trader consensus at 91% implied probability for the New Hampshire Republican Senate primary, driven by his formidable resume as former three-term governor and two-term U.S. senator, offering unmatched name recognition and proven fundraising prowess in the state's small, retail-politics environment. Recent polling aggregates place him well ahead of the nascent field, with no major challengers emerging since Governor Chris Sununu reconfirmed his decision against a Senate bid last month and Scott Brown—defeated in the 2014 general election—remains a longshot at 4.6%. Dan Innis trails at 3.8% after prior unsuccessful House primary runs. While Sununu's age (81) and light recent campaign trail presence pose minimal current risks, a high-profile alternative entrant, late-breaking health issues, or shifting national GOP priorities could erode his lead ahead of the 2026 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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