Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's early campaign launch on February 13 and commanding leads in initial polls have solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for her to win Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary, following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement announcement earlier that month. Recent Star Tribune and Emerson College surveys show Flanagan ahead by double digits over Rep. Angie Craig (priced at 16.5%), who lags with a more district-specific profile despite national fundraising strength. Other Democrats like AG Keith Ellison, Rep. Ilhan Omar, and House Speaker Emerita Melissa Hortman poll in single digits amid fundraising gaps and limited statewide appeal. No major challengers have entered recently, reinforcing Flanagan's path-to-nomination edge ahead of the 2026 primary cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПегги Фланаган 79%
Энджи Крейг 17%
Мелиса Лопес Франзен 1.3%
Кит Эллисон 1.3%
$28,421 Объем
$28,421 Объем
Пегги Фланаган
79%
Энджи Крейг
17%
Мелиса Лопес Франзен
1%
Кит Эллисон
1%
Мелиса Хортман
1%
Ильхан Омар
1%
Бетти Макколлум
1%
Стив Саймон
<1%
Дэвид Уэллстоун
<1%
Якоб Фрей
<1%
Пегги Фланаган 79%
Энджи Крейг 17%
Мелиса Лопес Франзен 1.3%
Кит Эллисон 1.3%
$28,421 Объем
$28,421 Объем
Пегги Фланаган
79%
Энджи Крейг
17%
Мелиса Лопес Франзен
1%
Кит Эллисон
1%
Мелиса Хортман
1%
Ильхан Омар
1%
Бетти Макколлум
1%
Стив Саймон
<1%
Дэвид Уэллстоун
<1%
Якоб Фрей
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's early campaign launch on February 13 and commanding leads in initial polls have solidified trader consensus at 79% implied probability for her to win Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary, following Sen. Tina Smith's retirement announcement earlier that month. Recent Star Tribune and Emerson College surveys show Flanagan ahead by double digits over Rep. Angie Craig (priced at 16.5%), who lags with a more district-specific profile despite national fundraising strength. Other Democrats like AG Keith Ellison, Rep. Ilhan Omar, and House Speaker Emerita Melissa Hortman poll in single digits amid fundraising gaps and limited statewide appeal. No major challengers have entered recently, reinforcing Flanagan's path-to-nomination edge ahead of the 2026 primary cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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