Peggy Flanagan’s commanding lead in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary reflects her strong performance among DFL primary voters, driven by party endorsement, progressive organizational support, and alignment with anti-establishment sentiment on issues like corporate influence and immigration enforcement. Despite Rep. Angie Craig’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending favoring the more centrist candidate, polls through early August and final vote tallies showed Flanagan securing roughly 59 percent to Craig’s 39 percent. The resulting 15–20 point margin aligns with trader consensus on the outcome. Late changes in certified results, unexpected turnout shifts in key counties, or procedural disputes over remaining ballots represent the narrow paths that could still alter the precise spread before final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлэнаган 15–20% 97.9%
Флэнаган 5–10% 1.9%
Флэнаган 20%+ 1.9%
Крейг 5–10% 1.8%
$47,115 Объем
$47,115 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Флэнаган 20%+
2%
Флэнаган 15–20%
98%
Флэнаган 10–15%
<1%
Флэнаган 5–10%
2%
Флэнаган <5%
2%
Крэйг <5%
2%
Крейг 5–10%
2%
Крейг 10–15%
<1%
Крейг 15–20%
<1%
Крейг 20%+
1%
Флэнаган 15–20% 97.9%
Флэнаган 5–10% 1.9%
Флэнаган 20%+ 1.9%
Крейг 5–10% 1.8%
$47,115 Объем
$47,115 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Флэнаган 20%+
$1,407 Объем
2%
Флэнаган 15–20%
$17,126 Объем
98%
Флэнаган 10–15%
$9,838 Объем
<1%
Флэнаган 5–10%
$4,570 Объем
2%
Флэнаган <5%
$9,125 Объем
2%
Крэйг <5%
$1,334 Объем
2%
Крейг 5–10%
$2,092 Объем
2%
Крейг 10–15%
$663 Объем
<1%
Крейг 15–20%
$489 Объем
<1%
Крейг 20%+
$470 Объем
1%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan’s commanding lead in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary reflects her strong performance among DFL primary voters, driven by party endorsement, progressive organizational support, and alignment with anti-establishment sentiment on issues like corporate influence and immigration enforcement. Despite Rep. Angie Craig’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending favoring the more centrist candidate, polls through early August and final vote tallies showed Flanagan securing roughly 59 percent to Craig’s 39 percent. The resulting 15–20 point margin aligns with trader consensus on the outcome. Late changes in certified results, unexpected turnout shifts in key counties, or procedural disputes over remaining ballots represent the narrow paths that could still alter the precise spread before final resolution.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Объем
$47,115Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan’s commanding lead in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary reflects her strong performance among DFL primary voters, driven by party endorsement, progressive organizational support, and alignment with anti-establishment sentiment on issues like corporate influence and immigration enforcement. Despite Rep. Angie Craig’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending favoring the more centrist candidate, polls through early August and final vote tallies showed Flanagan securing roughly 59 percent to Craig’s 39 percent. The resulting 15–20 point margin aligns with trader consensus on the outcome. Late changes in certified results, unexpected turnout shifts in key counties, or procedural disputes over remaining ballots represent the narrow paths that could still alter the precise spread before final resolution.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$47,115Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peggy Flanagan’s commanding lead in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary reflects her strong performance among DFL primary voters, driven by party endorsement, progressive organizational support, and alignment with anti-establishment sentiment on issues like corporate influence and immigration enforcement. Despite Rep. Angie Craig’s substantial fundraising edge and outside spending favoring the more centrist candidate, polls through early August and final vote tallies showed Flanagan securing roughly 59 percent to Craig’s 39 percent. The resulting 15–20 point margin aligns with trader consensus on the outcome. Late changes in certified results, unexpected turnout shifts in key counties, or procedural disputes over remaining ballots represent the narrow paths that could still alter the precise spread before final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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