Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 13, driven by her surge in the latest Star Tribune/MPR News poll showing 28% support, ahead of Adam Schwarze at 16% and Raymond Petersen at 9%. Her late June entry leveraged national name recognition from ESPN broadcasting, boosting fundraising and ad buys amid a crowded field. Schwarze holds second at 11.7% on grassroots organization and prior legislative experience, while Petersen's 6.7% reflects steady regional backing. Recent polling momentum has widened Tafoya's edge over Royce White's name recall from his 2022 bid, with low-volume candidates trailing on limited visibility. Markets await final endorsements or debates that could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМишель Тафоя 76%
Адам Шварце 11.7%
Рэймонд Петерсен 6.6%
Ройс Уайт 3.4%
Мишель Тафоя
76%
Адам Шварце
12%
Рэймонд Петерсен
7%
Ройс Уайт
3%
Джим Нэш
2%
Кристофер Брукс
2%
Дэвид Ханн
1%
Том Вайлер
1%
Джулия Коулман
1%
Майк Руохо
1%
Алисия Грюнхаген
<1%
Кристин Роббинс
<1%
Мишель Тафоя 76%
Адам Шварце 11.7%
Рэймонд Петерсен 6.6%
Ройс Уайт 3.4%
Мишель Тафоя
76%
Адам Шварце
12%
Рэймонд Петерсен
7%
Ройс Уайт
3%
Джим Нэш
2%
Кристофер Брукс
2%
Дэвид Ханн
1%
Том Вайлер
1%
Джулия Коулман
1%
Майк Руохо
1%
Алисия Грюнхаген
<1%
Кристин Роббинс
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 75% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 13, driven by her surge in the latest Star Tribune/MPR News poll showing 28% support, ahead of Adam Schwarze at 16% and Raymond Petersen at 9%. Her late June entry leveraged national name recognition from ESPN broadcasting, boosting fundraising and ad buys amid a crowded field. Schwarze holds second at 11.7% on grassroots organization and prior legislative experience, while Petersen's 6.7% reflects steady regional backing. Recent polling momentum has widened Tafoya's edge over Royce White's name recall from his 2022 bid, with low-volume candidates trailing on limited visibility. Markets await final endorsements or debates that could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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