Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 160-199 (top outcomes at 24.5% and 23.0%), driven primarily by uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome, which will shape the administration's communication style. Historical data shows Trump's first-term White House averaging over 200 weekly posts amid aggressive messaging, versus Biden's more restrained 80-120 range focused on official updates. Recent polling shifts and Polymarket's election odds favoring Trump (around 55%) have nudged sentiment toward higher volumes without decisive separation. Dynamics stay tight due to razor-thin national surveys; a clear election victor or early 2025 social media policy signals could widen spreads toward 200+ or sub-140 ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоБелый дом # посты 20 марта - 27 марта 2026 года?
Белый дом # посты 20 марта - 27 марта 2026 года?
180-199 25%
160-179 23%
200+ 19%
140-159 15%
$11,418 Объем
$11,418 Объем
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
2%
100-119
6%
120–139
7%
140-159
15%
160-179
23%
180-199
25%
200+
19%
180-199 25%
160-179 23%
200+ 19%
140-159 15%
$11,418 Объем
$11,418 Объем
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
2%
100-119
6%
120–139
7%
140-159
15%
160-179
23%
180-199
25%
200+
19%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 160-199 (top outcomes at 24.5% and 23.0%), driven primarily by uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome, which will shape the administration's communication style. Historical data shows Trump's first-term White House averaging over 200 weekly posts amid aggressive messaging, versus Biden's more restrained 80-120 range focused on official updates. Recent polling shifts and Polymarket's election odds favoring Trump (around 55%) have nudged sentiment toward higher volumes without decisive separation. Dynamics stay tight due to razor-thin national surveys; a clear election victor or early 2025 social media policy signals could widen spreads toward 200+ or sub-140 ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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