Trader consensus favors Ted Cruz posting 80-99 times on X from March 20-27, 2026, at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 120-139 (24%) and 60-79 (19%), driven by his consistent high-volume history averaging 12-15 posts daily amid Senate duties and rapid-response style. Recent patterns show spikes exceeding 120 during news-heavy weeks like debt ceiling talks or Trump-related developments, contrasted with quieter 60-range periods, fostering tight clustering across mid-range bins. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts such as midterm primary season buildup, legislative votes, or global affairs prompting threads. Separation likely from confirmed Senate calendar events or major endorsements, though baseline trader pricing reflects historical norms 11 months ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоТед Круз # посты 20 марта - 27 марта 2026?
Тед Круз # посты 20 марта - 27 марта 2026?
120-139 24%
80-99 22%
60-79 19%
100-119 17%
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
14%
60-79
19%
80-99
30%
100-119
17%
120-139
24%
140-159
14%
160-179
15%
180-199
16%
200+
15%
120-139 24%
80-99 22%
60-79 19%
100-119 17%
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
14%
60-79
19%
80-99
30%
100-119
17%
120-139
24%
140-159
14%
160-179
15%
180-199
16%
200+
15%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Ted Cruz posting 80-99 times on X from March 20-27, 2026, at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 120-139 (24%) and 60-79 (19%), driven by his consistent high-volume history averaging 12-15 posts daily amid Senate duties and rapid-response style. Recent patterns show spikes exceeding 120 during news-heavy weeks like debt ceiling talks or Trump-related developments, contrasted with quieter 60-range periods, fostering tight clustering across mid-range bins. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts such as midterm primary season buildup, legislative votes, or global affairs prompting threads. Separation likely from confirmed Senate calendar events or major endorsements, though baseline trader pricing reflects historical norms 11 months ahead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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