Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established rhythm of roughly 38-46 posts daily amid steady cultural commentary on tech, politics, and memes. Recent tracking shows his output stabilizing post-2024 election frenzy, with three-day totals rarely dipping below 115 or spiking past 139 outside viral controversies—bolstered by X's algorithm rewarding consistent engagement without excess. Historical precedents, like subdued weekends in 2025 previews, reinforce this positioning. An upset into 140-164 would require a catalyst like a Tesla launch, SpaceX milestone, or global headline demanding real-time Musk narration, though such volatility has waned as his brand matures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено115-139 100.0%
Меньше 40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$4,106,849 Объем
$4,106,849 Объем
Меньше 40
Нет
40-64
Нет
65-89
Нет
90-114
Нет
115-139
Да
140-164
Нет
165-189
Нет
190-214
Нет
215-239
Нет
240+
Нет
115-139 100.0%
Меньше 40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$4,106,849 Объем
$4,106,849 Объем
Меньше 40
Нет
40-64
Нет
65-89
Нет
90-114
Нет
115-139
Да
140-164
Нет
165-189
Нет
190-214
Нет
215-239
Нет
240+
Нет
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established rhythm of roughly 38-46 posts daily amid steady cultural commentary on tech, politics, and memes. Recent tracking shows his output stabilizing post-2024 election frenzy, with three-day totals rarely dipping below 115 or spiking past 139 outside viral controversies—bolstered by X's algorithm rewarding consistent engagement without excess. Historical precedents, like subdued weekends in 2025 previews, reinforce this positioning. An upset into 140-164 would require a catalyst like a Tesla launch, SpaceX milestone, or global headline demanding real-time Musk narration, though such volatility has waned as his brand matures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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