Trader consensus in the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, 2026, positions Rep. Sharice Davids as the frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting her high name recognition as the state's only Democratic House member and recent speculation fueled by her statewide tour in late January and comments weighing a bid amid potential redistricting threats to her seat. Christy Davis holds second at 21.5%, bolstered by her experience as former Kansas USDA Rural Development director and prior congressional run, appealing to rural voters. Lower odds for Sandy Spidel Neumann (6.7%), Patrick Schmidt (6.6%, state senator who announced February 4), Michael Soetaert (4.6%), and Anne Parelkar (2.9%) stem from limited fundraising and name recognition among declared candidates, with no public polls available and a June 1 filing deadline looming.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоШарис Дэвидс 44%
Кристи Дэвис 11%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 5.6%
Майкл Соэтарт 4.6%
$30,087 Объем
$30,087 Объем
Шарис Дэвидс
44%
Кристи Дэвис
22%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
6%
Майкл Соэтарт
5%
Анна Парелкар
3%
Патрик Шмидт
7%
Шарис Дэвидс 44%
Кристи Дэвис 11%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман 5.6%
Майкл Соэтарт 4.6%
$30,087 Объем
$30,087 Объем
Шарис Дэвидс
44%
Кристи Дэвис
22%
Сэнди Спайдел Нойман
6%
Майкл Соэтарт
5%
Анна Парелкар
3%
Патрик Шмидт
7%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, 2026, positions Rep. Sharice Davids as the frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting her high name recognition as the state's only Democratic House member and recent speculation fueled by her statewide tour in late January and comments weighing a bid amid potential redistricting threats to her seat. Christy Davis holds second at 21.5%, bolstered by her experience as former Kansas USDA Rural Development director and prior congressional run, appealing to rural voters. Lower odds for Sandy Spidel Neumann (6.7%), Patrick Schmidt (6.6%, state senator who announced February 4), Michael Soetaert (4.6%), and Anne Parelkar (2.9%) stem from limited fundraising and name recognition among declared candidates, with no public polls available and a June 1 filing deadline looming.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы