Recent polls showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Senator John Cornyn by 5–8 points among likely Republican primary runoff voters have driven trader consensus toward a Paxton victory margin of 9% or more, reflecting Paxton's stronger appeal to the motivated MAGA base in the low-turnout May 26 contest. Paxton's hardline record on border security and resistance to federal overreach contrasts with Cornyn's establishment incumbency and past bipartisan compromises, fueling base enthusiasm despite Cornyn's fundraising edge. Absent a late Trump endorsement or debate shifts, Paxton's polling surge since the March 3 primary—where Cornyn narrowly led—positions him to consolidate support from third-place finishers like Rep. Wesley Hunt, while early voting begins mid-May.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПакстон 9%+ 27.9%
Пакстон 6–9% 14%
Корнин 9%+ 14%
Пакстон 3–6% 11%
$54,445 Объем
$54,445 Объем
25 мая 2026 г.
Пакстон 9%+
28%
Пакстон 6–9%
14%
Пакстон 3–6%
11%
Пакстон <3%
12%
Корнин <3%
18%
Корнин 3–6%
6%
Корнин 6–9%
3%
Корнин 9%+
14%
Пакстон 9%+ 27.9%
Пакстон 6–9% 14%
Корнин 9%+ 14%
Пакстон 3–6% 11%
$54,445 Объем
$54,445 Объем
25 мая 2026 г.
Пакстон 9%+
$10,609 Объем
28%
Пакстон 6–9%
$6,077 Объем
14%
Пакстон 3–6%
$4,774 Объем
11%
Пакстон <3%
$6,427 Объем
12%
Корнин <3%
$4,718 Объем
18%
Корнин 3–6%
$4,729 Объем
6%
Корнин 6–9%
$5,222 Объем
3%
Корнин 9%+
$11,889 Объем
14%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Senator John Cornyn by 5–8 points among likely Republican primary runoff voters have driven trader consensus toward a Paxton victory margin of 9% or more, reflecting Paxton's stronger appeal to the motivated MAGA base in the low-turnout May 26 contest. Paxton's hardline record on border security and resistance to federal overreach contrasts with Cornyn's establishment incumbency and past bipartisan compromises, fueling base enthusiasm despite Cornyn's fundraising edge. Absent a late Trump endorsement or debate shifts, Paxton's polling surge since the March 3 primary—where Cornyn narrowly led—positions him to consolidate support from third-place finishers like Rep. Wesley Hunt, while early voting begins mid-May.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Объем
$54,445Дата окончания
25 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Senator John Cornyn by 5–8 points among likely Republican primary runoff voters have driven trader consensus toward a Paxton victory margin of 9% or more, reflecting Paxton's stronger appeal to the motivated MAGA base in the low-turnout May 26 contest. Paxton's hardline record on border security and resistance to federal overreach contrasts with Cornyn's establishment incumbency and past bipartisan compromises, fueling base enthusiasm despite Cornyn's fundraising edge. Absent a late Trump endorsement or debate shifts, Paxton's polling surge since the March 3 primary—where Cornyn narrowly led—positions him to consolidate support from third-place finishers like Rep. Wesley Hunt, while early voting begins mid-May.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$54,445Дата окончания
25 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Senator John Cornyn by 5–8 points among likely Republican primary runoff voters have driven trader consensus toward a Paxton victory margin of 9% or more, reflecting Paxton's stronger appeal to the motivated MAGA base in the low-turnout May 26 contest. Paxton's hardline record on border security and resistance to federal overreach contrasts with Cornyn's establishment incumbency and past bipartisan compromises, fueling base enthusiasm despite Cornyn's fundraising edge. Absent a late Trump endorsement or debate shifts, Paxton's polling surge since the March 3 primary—where Cornyn narrowly led—positions him to consolidate support from third-place finishers like Rep. Wesley Hunt, while early voting begins mid-May.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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