U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary following a March 11 Emerson College/KELO poll showing him ahead by a 10-point margin over rivals, bolstered by his congressional incumbency and recent ballot qualification. Aberdeen businessman Toby Doeden holds second at 35.5%, reflecting his strong polling as an outsider challenger and recent comments framing the June 2 primary as a two-way race between him and Johnson. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, elevated after Kristi Noem's 2025 resignation to join the Trump administration, lags at 9% amid vulnerabilities tied to his brief tenure, despite qualifying for the ballot last week. Three debates scheduled among the four candidates could tip this competitive field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДасти Джонсон 50%
Тоби Диден 36%
Ларри Роден 9%
Джон Хансен <1%
$12,304 Объем
$12,304 Объем
Дасти Джонсон
50%
Тоби Диден
36%
Ларри Роден
9%
Джон Хансен
1%
Дасти Джонсон 50%
Тоби Диден 36%
Ларри Роден 9%
Джон Хансен <1%
$12,304 Объем
$12,304 Объем
Дасти Джонсон
50%
Тоби Диден
36%
Ларри Роден
9%
Джон Хансен
1%
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary following a March 11 Emerson College/KELO poll showing him ahead by a 10-point margin over rivals, bolstered by his congressional incumbency and recent ballot qualification. Aberdeen businessman Toby Doeden holds second at 35.5%, reflecting his strong polling as an outsider challenger and recent comments framing the June 2 primary as a two-way race between him and Johnson. Incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, elevated after Kristi Noem's 2025 resignation to join the Trump administration, lags at 9% amid vulnerabilities tied to his brief tenure, despite qualifying for the ballot last week. Three debates scheduled among the four candidates could tip this competitive field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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