With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial top-four primary on August 18 draws a crowded field of over a dozen candidates, mostly Republicans, fragmenting the GOP vote and elevating Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in trader consensus and early polls. A February Lake Research survey (Begich sponsor) showed him at 38%, well ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson (16%), Dave Bronson (13%), and Click Bishop (8%), reflecting his strong fundraising and name recognition. Polymarket traders price Begich's advancement at 80%, Wilson at 73%, Bronson at 53%, and Bishop at 56%, betting on Republican vote-splitting. Filing closes June 1, with debates and fresh polls ahead that could consolidate the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$17,870 Объем
Том Бегич
80%
Бернадетт Уилсон
63%
Дейв Бронсон
52%
Трег Тейлор
41%
Клик Бишоп
41%
Адам Крам
21%
Нэнси Дальстром
16%
Хэнк Кролл
14%
Мэтт Хейлала
13%
Мэтт Кламан
11%
Эдна ДеВрис
10%
Шелли Хьюз
9%
Джеймс Паркин
6%
$17,870 Объем
Том Бегич
80%
Бернадетт Уилсон
63%
Дейв Бронсон
52%
Трег Тейлор
41%
Клик Бишоп
41%
Адам Крам
21%
Нэнси Дальстром
16%
Хэнк Кролл
14%
Мэтт Хейлала
13%
Мэтт Кламан
11%
Эдна ДеВрис
10%
Шелли Хьюз
9%
Джеймс Паркин
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial top-four primary on August 18 draws a crowded field of over a dozen candidates, mostly Republicans, fragmenting the GOP vote and elevating Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in trader consensus and early polls. A February Lake Research survey (Begich sponsor) showed him at 38%, well ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson (16%), Dave Bronson (13%), and Click Bishop (8%), reflecting his strong fundraising and name recognition. Polymarket traders price Begich's advancement at 80%, Wilson at 73%, Bronson at 53%, and Bishop at 56%, betting on Republican vote-splitting. Filing closes June 1, with debates and fresh polls ahead that could consolidate the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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