Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding position as the three-term incumbent in the heavily Democratic NY-15 district, with traders reflecting his advantages in fundraising, established local support, and endorsements from party leaders. Recent candidate filings and announcements from challengers including former Assembly Member Michael Blake and public defender Dalourny Nemorin have not shifted the dynamics ahead of the June 23 primary. The market's implied probabilities align with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries, though factors such as unexpected voter mobilization around policy differences or late developments in the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРичи Торрес 92%
Майкл Блейк 6.2%
Далурни Неморин 1.8%
Аманда Септимо <1%
$30,298 Объем
$30,298 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
Ричи Торрес
92%
Майкл Блейк
6%
Далурни Неморин
2%
Аманда Септимо
<1%
Ричи Торрес 92%
Майкл Блейк 6.2%
Далурни Неморин 1.8%
Аманда Септимо <1%
$30,298 Объем
$30,298 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
Ричи Торрес
$5,255 Объем
92%
Майкл Блейк
$3,411 Объем
6%
Далурни Неморин
$14,416 Объем
2%
Аманда Септимо
$7,216 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding position as the three-term incumbent in the heavily Democratic NY-15 district, with traders reflecting his advantages in fundraising, established local support, and endorsements from party leaders. Recent candidate filings and announcements from challengers including former Assembly Member Michael Blake and public defender Dalourny Nemorin have not shifted the dynamics ahead of the June 23 primary. The market's implied probabilities align with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries, though factors such as unexpected voter mobilization around policy differences or late developments in the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Объем
$30,298Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding position as the three-term incumbent in the heavily Democratic NY-15 district, with traders reflecting his advantages in fundraising, established local support, and endorsements from party leaders. Recent candidate filings and announcements from challengers including former Assembly Member Michael Blake and public defender Dalourny Nemorin have not shifted the dynamics ahead of the June 23 primary. The market's implied probabilities align with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries, though factors such as unexpected voter mobilization around policy differences or late developments in the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$30,298Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding position as the three-term incumbent in the heavily Democratic NY-15 district, with traders reflecting his advantages in fundraising, established local support, and endorsements from party leaders. Recent candidate filings and announcements from challengers including former Assembly Member Michael Blake and public defender Dalourny Nemorin have not shifted the dynamics ahead of the June 23 primary. The market's implied probabilities align with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries, though factors such as unexpected voter mobilization around policy differences or late developments in the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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