Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary market heavily favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 62.5% implied probability to succeed retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez on June 23, with Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 34%, driven by Valdez's progressive momentum in this deep-blue Brooklyn-Queens district. Key factors include her endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani—who dominated the district in his 2025 mayoral primary win—and Sen. Bernie Sanders, alongside NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing and a Q1 fundraising lead of $752,000 over Reynoso's $630,000. Recent May interviews and a Hell Gate donor analysis highlighted the DSA-establishment divide, boosting Valdez despite Reynoso's support from Velázquez, AG Letitia James, and Queens Democrats; a January Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso ahead 28-24%, but no new surveys have emerged amid ongoing debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКлэр Вальдес 63%
Антонио Рейносо 34%
Джули Вон <1%
Тиффани Кабан <1%
$107,130 Объем
$107,130 Объем
Клэр Вальдес
63%
Антонио Рейносо
34%
Джули Вон
<1%
Тиффани Кабан
<1%
Кристен Гонсалес
<1%
Линкольн Рестлер
<1%
Джулия Салазар
<1%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес
<1%
Сэнди Нёрс
<1%
Клэр Вальдес 63%
Антонио Рейносо 34%
Джули Вон <1%
Тиффани Кабан <1%
$107,130 Объем
$107,130 Объем
Клэр Вальдес
63%
Антонио Рейносо
34%
Джули Вон
<1%
Тиффани Кабан
<1%
Кристен Гонсалес
<1%
Линкольн Рестлер
<1%
Джулия Салазар
<1%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес
<1%
Сэнди Нёрс
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary market heavily favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 62.5% implied probability to succeed retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez on June 23, with Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 34%, driven by Valdez's progressive momentum in this deep-blue Brooklyn-Queens district. Key factors include her endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani—who dominated the district in his 2025 mayoral primary win—and Sen. Bernie Sanders, alongside NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing and a Q1 fundraising lead of $752,000 over Reynoso's $630,000. Recent May interviews and a Hell Gate donor analysis highlighted the DSA-establishment divide, boosting Valdez despite Reynoso's support from Velázquez, AG Letitia James, and Queens Democrats; a January Data for Progress poll showed Reynoso ahead 28-24%, but no new surveys have emerged amid ongoing debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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