Claire Valdez leads the NY-07 Democratic primary field with a 63.5% implied probability according to current trader consensus, driven primarily by her early and strong endorsement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani along with backing from the NYC Democratic Socialists of America chapter and Senator Bernie Sanders. This support has helped her consolidate progressive and democratic socialist voters in the Queens-Brooklyn district, where Mamdani previously won decisively, while her early fundraising edge has further strengthened her position ahead of the June 23 primary. Antonio Reynoso trails at 33.5% as the choice of retiring incumbent Representative Nydia Velázquez, drawing on his record as Brooklyn Borough President, deep local roots, and endorsements from labor organizations and other elected officials. Minor candidates including Lincoln Restler, Julie Won, and others remain at 0.6% or below, reflecting limited polling traction and narrower coalitions in this closely watched contest between competing progressive factions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКлэр Вальдес 64%
Антонио Рейносо 34%
Линкольн Рестлер <1%
Джули Вон <1%
$107,403 Объем
$107,403 Объем
Клэр Вальдес
64%
Антонио Рейносо
34%
Линкольн Рестлер
1%
Джули Вон
<1%
Тиффани Кабан
<1%
Кристен Гонсалес
<1%
Джулия Салазар
<1%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес
<1%
Сэнди Нёрс
<1%
Клэр Вальдес 64%
Антонио Рейносо 34%
Линкольн Рестлер <1%
Джули Вон <1%
$107,403 Объем
$107,403 Объем
Клэр Вальдес
64%
Антонио Рейносо
34%
Линкольн Рестлер
1%
Джули Вон
<1%
Тиффани Кабан
<1%
Кристен Гонсалес
<1%
Джулия Салазар
<1%
Дженнифер Гутьеррес
<1%
Сэнди Нёрс
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez leads the NY-07 Democratic primary field with a 63.5% implied probability according to current trader consensus, driven primarily by her early and strong endorsement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani along with backing from the NYC Democratic Socialists of America chapter and Senator Bernie Sanders. This support has helped her consolidate progressive and democratic socialist voters in the Queens-Brooklyn district, where Mamdani previously won decisively, while her early fundraising edge has further strengthened her position ahead of the June 23 primary. Antonio Reynoso trails at 33.5% as the choice of retiring incumbent Representative Nydia Velázquez, drawing on his record as Brooklyn Borough President, deep local roots, and endorsements from labor organizations and other elected officials. Minor candidates including Lincoln Restler, Julie Won, and others remain at 0.6% or below, reflecting limited polling traction and narrower coalitions in this closely watched contest between competing progressive factions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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