Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability in the Michigan 11th Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by his fundraising edge—$1.6 million raised and $1.1 million cash on hand—and consistent poll leads, including a July 22-24 Target Insyght survey showing him at 37% to Andy Levin's 21%. Recent internal Moss polling and endorsements from EMILYs List and Planned Parenthood have widened his advantage ahead of the August 6 contest. Levin holds 9.5% on name recognition from his prior congressional term, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and Dave Woodward (2.4%) trail amid weaker fundraising and visibility, reflecting trader bets on Moss's organizational strength despite tight race dynamics.