Trader consensus prices a tight contest for the People Power Party (PPP) to win 2-3 seats out of six in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on April 3, driven by district-specific polls showing PPP leads in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trailing the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) in urban swing areas of Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, including a recent STI survey in Incheon's Yeonsu-A where DPK holds a 47.5%-36.2% edge. Fallout from President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over a December martial law declaration has cratered PPP national support to 18-28% in Gallup Korea and Realmeter polls, yet low expected turnout and recent candidate nominations could preserve 2-3 pickups. Separation may hinge on final pre-election surveys, Constitutional Court hearings on Yoon allies, or special counsel investigation outcomes before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКоличество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
3 44%
2 41%
0 11%
1 7.4%
$19,299 Объем
$19,299 Объем
Jun 3, 2026
0
11%
1
7%
2
41%
3
44%
4
4%
5
<1%
6+
2%
3 44%
2 41%
0 11%
1 7.4%
$19,299 Объем
$19,299 Объем
Jun 3, 2026
0
$1,791 Объем
11%
1
$2,063 Объем
7%
2
$9,395 Объем
41%
3
$1,317 Объем
44%
4
$1,500 Объем
4%
5
$786 Объем
<1%
6+
$2,447 Объем
2%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices a tight contest for the People Power Party (PPP) to win 2-3 seats out of six in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on April 3, driven by district-specific polls showing PPP leads in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trailing the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) in urban swing areas of Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, including a recent STI survey in Incheon's Yeonsu-A where DPK holds a 47.5%-36.2% edge. Fallout from President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over a December martial law declaration has cratered PPP national support to 18-28% in Gallup Korea and Realmeter polls, yet low expected turnout and recent candidate nominations could preserve 2-3 pickups. Separation may hinge on final pre-election surveys, Constitutional Court hearings on Yoon allies, or special counsel investigation outcomes before voting.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Объем
$19,299Дата окончания
Jun 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices a tight contest for the People Power Party (PPP) to win 2-3 seats out of six in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on April 3, driven by district-specific polls showing PPP leads in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trailing the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) in urban swing areas of Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, including a recent STI survey in Incheon's Yeonsu-A where DPK holds a 47.5%-36.2% edge. Fallout from President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over a December martial law declaration has cratered PPP national support to 18-28% in Gallup Korea and Realmeter polls, yet low expected turnout and recent candidate nominations could preserve 2-3 pickups. Separation may hinge on final pre-election surveys, Constitutional Court hearings on Yoon allies, or special counsel investigation outcomes before voting.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Объем
$19,299Дата окончания
Jun 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a tight contest for the People Power Party (PPP) to win 2-3 seats out of six in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections on April 3, driven by district-specific polls showing PPP leads in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trailing the Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) in urban swing areas of Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, including a recent STI survey in Incheon's Yeonsu-A where DPK holds a 47.5%-36.2% edge. Fallout from President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over a December martial law declaration has cratered PPP national support to 18-28% in Gallup Korea and Realmeter polls, yet low expected turnout and recent candidate nominations could preserve 2-3 pickups. Separation may hinge on final pre-election surveys, Constitutional Court hearings on Yoon allies, or special counsel investigation outcomes before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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