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Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?

Market icon

Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?

3 39%

2 38%

5 12.5%

0 9%

Polymarket

$19,773 Объем

3 39%

2 38%

5 12.5%

0 9%

Polymarket

$19,773 Объем

0

$1,806 Объем

9%

1

$2,068 Объем

7%

2

$9,405 Объем

38%

3

$1,322 Объем

39%

4

$1,831 Объем

6%

5

$887 Объем

13%

6+

$2,453 Объем

1%

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.

Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.

Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «3» с 39%, за ним следует «2» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19.8K с момента запуска рынка Feb 12, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?» — «3» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «2» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.