Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКоличество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
Количество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
3 39%
2 38%
5 12.5%
0 9%
$19,773 Объем
$19,773 Объем
Jun 3, 2026
0
9%
1
7%
2
38%
3
39%
4
6%
5
13%
6+
1%
3 39%
2 38%
5 12.5%
0 9%
$19,773 Объем
$19,773 Объем
Jun 3, 2026
0
$1,806 Объем
9%
1
$2,068 Объем
7%
2
$9,405 Объем
38%
3
$1,322 Объем
39%
4
$1,831 Объем
6%
5
$887 Объем
13%
6+
$2,453 Объем
1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Объем
$19,773Дата окончания
Jun 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Объем
$19,773Дата окончания
Jun 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the People Power Party (PPP) at 39% for three seats and 37.5% for two out of six National Assembly by-elections on June 3, 2026, coinciding with local elections, reflecting Realmeter and Gallup Korea polls where PPP leads narrowly in conservative strongholds like Daegu but trails in Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)-held urban swing districts in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. A fresh Gallup survey shows PPP approval at 19% versus DPK's 46%, driven by internal leadership turmoil, candidate shortages, and lingering fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his December 2025 martial law declaration. The race stays tight due to PPP's regional incumbency edges offsetting national weaknesses, with separation possible from special counsel probes into Yoon allies, Constitutional Court hearings on the impeachment, or late nomination scandals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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