Ruling Democratic Party of Korea (DP) enjoys a commanding polling lead at around 45% support in late February surveys, fueling trader consensus for DP securing 10+ National Assembly seats (55.5%) or 8-9 seats (37.9%) in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. This reflects DP's incumbency advantage under President Lee Jae-myung, who won the 2025 snap presidential vote, contrasted with opposition People Power Party (PPP)'s candidate shortages and internal nomination conflicts reported in mid-March. Recent developments include DP resolving primary disputes in key districts like Incheon Yeonsu-gap and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap, while PPP heavyweights skip races amid local election pressures. High turnout from concurrent polls could amplify DP's edge in battleground constituencies, though scandals remain a tail risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКоличество мест, выигранных ДП на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
Количество мест, выигранных ДП на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
10+ 55.5%
8-9 37.9%
6-7 3.9%
2–3 2.4%
$19,867 Объем
$19,867 Объем
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
<1%
2–3
2%
4-5
1%
6-7
4%
8-9
38%
10+
55%
10+ 55.5%
8-9 37.9%
6-7 3.9%
2–3 2.4%
$19,867 Объем
$19,867 Объем
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
$1,927 Объем
<1%
2–3
$3,668 Объем
2%
4-5
$2,140 Объем
1%
6-7
$2,103 Объем
4%
8-9
$2,519 Объем
38%
10+
$7,511 Объем
55%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Ruling Democratic Party of Korea (DP) enjoys a commanding polling lead at around 45% support in late February surveys, fueling trader consensus for DP securing 10+ National Assembly seats (55.5%) or 8-9 seats (37.9%) in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. This reflects DP's incumbency advantage under President Lee Jae-myung, who won the 2025 snap presidential vote, contrasted with opposition People Power Party (PPP)'s candidate shortages and internal nomination conflicts reported in mid-March. Recent developments include DP resolving primary disputes in key districts like Incheon Yeonsu-gap and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap, while PPP heavyweights skip races amid local election pressures. High turnout from concurrent polls could amplify DP's edge in battleground constituencies, though scandals remain a tail risk.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Объем
$19,867Дата окончания
Jun 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Ruling Democratic Party of Korea (DP) enjoys a commanding polling lead at around 45% support in late February surveys, fueling trader consensus for DP securing 10+ National Assembly seats (55.5%) or 8-9 seats (37.9%) in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. This reflects DP's incumbency advantage under President Lee Jae-myung, who won the 2025 snap presidential vote, contrasted with opposition People Power Party (PPP)'s candidate shortages and internal nomination conflicts reported in mid-March. Recent developments include DP resolving primary disputes in key districts like Incheon Yeonsu-gap and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap, while PPP heavyweights skip races amid local election pressures. High turnout from concurrent polls could amplify DP's edge in battleground constituencies, though scandals remain a tail risk.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Объем
$19,867Дата окончания
Jun 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ruling Democratic Party of Korea (DP) enjoys a commanding polling lead at around 45% support in late February surveys, fueling trader consensus for DP securing 10+ National Assembly seats (55.5%) or 8-9 seats (37.9%) in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. This reflects DP's incumbency advantage under President Lee Jae-myung, who won the 2025 snap presidential vote, contrasted with opposition People Power Party (PPP)'s candidate shortages and internal nomination conflicts reported in mid-March. Recent developments include DP resolving primary disputes in key districts like Incheon Yeonsu-gap and Gyeonggi Ansan-gap, while PPP heavyweights skip races amid local election pressures. High turnout from concurrent polls could amplify DP's edge in battleground constituencies, though scandals remain a tail risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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