FlightAware data confirms approximately 5,470 total delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on March 30, locking trader consensus at 99.2% for the 5,000-5,500 range as the market nears resolution via the site's "yesterday" statistic checked at 12:00 PM ET the following day. Persistent disruptions from a partial government shutdown have strained TSA staffing, causing multi-hour security lines at major airports, while air traffic controller shortages contribute to elevated baseline delays around 5,000-6,000 daily, even absent mid-March storms. FAA noted only minor Northeast winds and isolated thunderstorms. Revision of preliminary figures remains the sole realistic challenge, though improbable given stability in recent tallies like 5,454 on March 28.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$11,283 Объем
$11,283 Объем
30 мар. 2026 г.
5,000-5,500
99%
5,500-6,000
<1%
$11,283 Объем
$11,283 Объем
30 мар. 2026 г.
5,000-5,500
$2,611 Объем
99%
5,500-6,000
$643 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data confirms approximately 5,470 total delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on March 30, locking trader consensus at 99.2% for the 5,000-5,500 range as the market nears resolution via the site's "yesterday" statistic checked at 12:00 PM ET the following day. Persistent disruptions from a partial government shutdown have strained TSA staffing, causing multi-hour security lines at major airports, while air traffic controller shortages contribute to elevated baseline delays around 5,000-6,000 daily, even absent mid-March storms. FAA noted only minor Northeast winds and isolated thunderstorms. Revision of preliminary figures remains the sole realistic challenge, though improbable given stability in recent tallies like 5,454 on March 28.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Объем
$11,283Дата окончания
30 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data confirms approximately 5,470 total delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on March 30, locking trader consensus at 99.2% for the 5,000-5,500 range as the market nears resolution via the site's "yesterday" statistic checked at 12:00 PM ET the following day. Persistent disruptions from a partial government shutdown have strained TSA staffing, causing multi-hour security lines at major airports, while air traffic controller shortages contribute to elevated baseline delays around 5,000-6,000 daily, even absent mid-March storms. FAA noted only minor Northeast winds and isolated thunderstorms. Revision of preliminary figures remains the sole realistic challenge, though improbable given stability in recent tallies like 5,454 on March 28.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$11,283Дата окончания
30 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...FlightAware data confirms approximately 5,470 total delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on March 30, locking trader consensus at 99.2% for the 5,000-5,500 range as the market nears resolution via the site's "yesterday" statistic checked at 12:00 PM ET the following day. Persistent disruptions from a partial government shutdown have strained TSA staffing, causing multi-hour security lines at major airports, while air traffic controller shortages contribute to elevated baseline delays around 5,000-6,000 daily, even absent mid-March storms. FAA noted only minor Northeast winds and isolated thunderstorms. Revision of preliminary figures remains the sole realistic challenge, though improbable given stability in recent tallies like 5,454 on March 28.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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