Traders price 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 23-29 at 79.5% implied probability, driven by sustained spring break travel demand averaging 2.5-2.7 million daily screenings in recent weeks, with the prior week totaling near 18 million amid record highs like 2.96 million on March 10. Slight moderation appeared in the March 20-22 data (2.6-2.7 million daily), as some school breaks end, but pre-Easter surges for Good Friday (March 29) and holiday flights bolster this range. Under 17.5 million at 10% reflects risks from weather disruptions or economic cooling, while slimmer odds on higher bins stem from historical weekly peaks rarely exceeding 19 million outside peak summer. No major cancellations or airline issues reported in the past 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено17.5-18m 75%
<17.5m 11%
18-18.5m 4%
18.5-19m <1%
$19,732 Объем
$19,732 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
<17.5m
11%
17.5-18m
75%
18-18.5m
4%
18.5-19m
1%
19-19.5m
<1%
>19.5m
<1%
17.5-18m 75%
<17.5m 11%
18-18.5m 4%
18.5-19m <1%
$19,732 Объем
$19,732 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
<17.5m
$487 Объем
11%
17.5-18m
$17,778 Объем
75%
18-18.5m
$764 Объем
4%
18.5-19m
$704 Объем
1%
19-19.5m
$0 Объем
<1%
>19.5m
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Traders price 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 23-29 at 79.5% implied probability, driven by sustained spring break travel demand averaging 2.5-2.7 million daily screenings in recent weeks, with the prior week totaling near 18 million amid record highs like 2.96 million on March 10. Slight moderation appeared in the March 20-22 data (2.6-2.7 million daily), as some school breaks end, but pre-Easter surges for Good Friday (March 29) and holiday flights bolster this range. Under 17.5 million at 10% reflects risks from weather disruptions or economic cooling, while slimmer odds on higher bins stem from historical weekly peaks rarely exceeding 19 million outside peak summer. No major cancellations or airline issues reported in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Объем
$19,732Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Traders price 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 23-29 at 79.5% implied probability, driven by sustained spring break travel demand averaging 2.5-2.7 million daily screenings in recent weeks, with the prior week totaling near 18 million amid record highs like 2.96 million on March 10. Slight moderation appeared in the March 20-22 data (2.6-2.7 million daily), as some school breaks end, but pre-Easter surges for Good Friday (March 29) and holiday flights bolster this range. Under 17.5 million at 10% reflects risks from weather disruptions or economic cooling, while slimmer odds on higher bins stem from historical weekly peaks rarely exceeding 19 million outside peak summer. No major cancellations or airline issues reported in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$19,732Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 23-29 at 79.5% implied probability, driven by sustained spring break travel demand averaging 2.5-2.7 million daily screenings in recent weeks, with the prior week totaling near 18 million amid record highs like 2.96 million on March 10. Slight moderation appeared in the March 20-22 data (2.6-2.7 million daily), as some school breaks end, but pre-Easter surges for Good Friday (March 29) and holiday flights bolster this range. Under 17.5 million at 10% reflects risks from weather disruptions or economic cooling, while slimmer odds on higher bins stem from historical weekly peaks rarely exceeding 19 million outside peak summer. No major cancellations or airline issues reported in the past 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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