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Политика·Глобальные выборы

Next Prime Minister of Ireland

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Политика·Глобальные выборы

Next Prime Minister of Ireland

Micheál Martin 100.0%

Conor McGregor <1%

Simon Harris <1%

Mary Lou McDonald <1%

Polymarket

$13,618,947 Объем

Micheál Martin 100.0%

Conor McGregor <1%

Simon Harris <1%

Mary Lou McDonald <1%

Polymarket

$13,618,947 Объем

Market icon

Conor McGregor

$9,363,172 Объем

No

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Simon Harris

$174,564 Объем

No

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Micheál Martin

$995,015 Объем

Yes

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Mary Lou McDonald

$222,968 Объем

No

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Jack Chambers

$660,731 Объем

No

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Pearse Doherty

$154,086 Объем

No

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Holly Cairns

$301,481 Объем

No

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Roderic O'Gorman

$155,020 Объем

No

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Helen McEntee

$327,444 Объем

No

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Jim O'Callaghan

$1,264,467 Объем

No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micheal Martin is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mary Lou McDonald is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Chambers is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pearse Doherty is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Cairns is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Helen McEntee is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim O'Callaghan is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$13,618,947
Дата окончания
29 нояб. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2024, 12:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micheal Martin is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mary Lou McDonald is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Chambers is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pearse Doherty is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Cairns is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Helen McEntee is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim O'Callaghan is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$13,618,947
Дата окончания
29 нояб. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2024, 12:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Prime Minister of Ireland» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Micheál Martin» с 100%, за ним следует «Conor McGregor» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Prime Minister of Ireland» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.6 million с момента запуска рынка Nov 12, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Prime Minister of Ireland», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Ireland» — «Micheál Martin» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Conor McGregor» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Prime Minister of Ireland» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.