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Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

Market icon

Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

дек. 31

дек. 31

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 62%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 18%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 3.5%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля 3.1%

Polymarket

$3,488,021 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 62%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 18%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 3.5%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля 3.1%

Polymarket

$3,488,021 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии

$30,932 Объем

62%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы

$22,150 Объем

18%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании

$561,994 Объем

3%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля

$1,014,538 Объем

3%

Такаити - Премьер-министр Японии

$355,319 Объем

2%

Трамп - Президент США

$216,903 Объем

2%

Путин – Президент России

$358,498 Объем

2%

Никто до 2027 года

$21,326 Объем

2%

Петро — Президент Колумбии

$16,252 Объем

1%

Макрон — Президент Франции

$74,099 Объем

1%

Зеленский — Президент Украины

$18,668 Объем

1%

Аббас — президент Палестины

$87,622 Объем

1%

Си — Генеральный секретарь КПК

$44,464 Объем

1%

Санчес — премьер-министр Испании

$22,789 Объем

1%

Лекорню — Премьер-министр Франции

$70,471 Объем

1%

Лула да Силва — президент Бразилии

$74,250 Объем

1%

аль-Шараа - Президент Сирии

$45,718 Объем

1%

Родригес - исполняющая обязанности президента Венесуэлы

$27,585 Объем

<1%

Эрдоган — Президент Турции

$78,936 Объем

<1%

Ким — Верховный лидер Северной Кореи

$27,456 Объем

<1%

Албанезе — премьер-министр Австралии

$61,683 Объем

<1%

Ньюсом - губернатор Калифорнии

$117,885 Объем

<1%

Милей — Президент Аргентины

$40,220 Объем

<1%

Мерц - канцлер Германии

$31,323 Объем

<1%

Шейнбаум — Президент Мексики

$66,942 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán exiting power before 2027 at 61.5%, driven by opposition Tisza party's sustained polling lead of 9-16 points over Fidesz ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election—the first major challenge to Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic discontent and anticorruption momentum from challenger Péter Magyar. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel follows at 17.5%, reflecting intensified U.S. diplomatic pressure under the Trump administration demanding his removal for negotiation progress, compounded by ongoing economic freefall, massive emigration, and energy shortages, though Havana firmly rejects term concessions. Lower probabilities for leaders like Netanyahu, Starmer, and Trump signal perceived stability via coalitions, fixed terms, or incumbency advantages, with Hungary's vote as the imminent catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,488,021
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán exiting power before 2027 at 61.5%, driven by opposition Tisza party's sustained polling lead of 9-16 points over Fidesz ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election—the first major challenge to Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic discontent and anticorruption momentum from challenger Péter Magyar. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel follows at 17.5%, reflecting intensified U.S. diplomatic pressure under the Trump administration demanding his removal for negotiation progress, compounded by ongoing economic freefall, massive emigration, and energy shortages, though Havana firmly rejects term concessions. Lower probabilities for leaders like Netanyahu, Starmer, and Trump signal perceived stability via coalitions, fixed terms, or incumbency advantages, with Hungary's vote as the imminent catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,488,021
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 25 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 62%, за ним следует «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 62¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.5 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?», просмотри 25 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.