New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with a more than 2-to-1 voter registration advantage and no Republican gubernatorial win since 2002, drives trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 race. Incumbent Kathy Hochul's narrow 2022 victory amid low current approval ratings around 40% has sparked speculation of primary challenges from figures like NYC Comptroller Brad Lander or Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado, fueled by recent progressive backlash over her pause on congestion pricing and budget compromises. No prominent Republican candidate has declared, limiting GOP path-to-victory. Upsets could stem from a star GOP recruit, Hochul scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national midterm dynamics; watch June 2026 primaries ahead of the November general election resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Йорка
Победитель выборов губернатора Нью-Йорка
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
92%
Республиканец
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
$0 Объем
92%
Республиканец
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with a more than 2-to-1 voter registration advantage and no Republican gubernatorial win since 2002, drives trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 race. Incumbent Kathy Hochul's narrow 2022 victory amid low current approval ratings around 40% has sparked speculation of primary challenges from figures like NYC Comptroller Brad Lander or Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado, fueled by recent progressive backlash over her pause on congestion pricing and budget compromises. No prominent Republican candidate has declared, limiting GOP path-to-victory. Upsets could stem from a star GOP recruit, Hochul scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national midterm dynamics; watch June 2026 primaries ahead of the November general election resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with a more than 2-to-1 voter registration advantage and no Republican gubernatorial win since 2002, drives trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 race. Incumbent Kathy Hochul's narrow 2022 victory amid low current approval ratings around 40% has sparked speculation of primary challenges from figures like NYC Comptroller Brad Lander or Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado, fueled by recent progressive backlash over her pause on congestion pricing and budget compromises. No prominent Republican candidate has declared, limiting GOP path-to-victory. Upsets could stem from a star GOP recruit, Hochul scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national midterm dynamics; watch June 2026 primaries ahead of the November general election resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's entrenched Democratic dominance, with a more than 2-to-1 voter registration advantage and no Republican gubernatorial win since 2002, drives trader consensus to a 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 race. Incumbent Kathy Hochul's narrow 2022 victory amid low current approval ratings around 40% has sparked speculation of primary challenges from figures like NYC Comptroller Brad Lander or Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado, fueled by recent progressive backlash over her pause on congestion pricing and budget compromises. No prominent Republican candidate has declared, limiting GOP path-to-victory. Upsets could stem from a star GOP recruit, Hochul scandal, weak Democratic turnout, or national midterm dynamics; watch June 2026 primaries ahead of the November general election resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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