Polling averages from Emerson College and Rutgers show Democratic nominee Andy Kim holding a consistent 20-point lead over Republican Curtis Bashaw in New Jersey's special Senate election, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win. This commanding position stems from the state's strong Democratic lean—last Republican Senate victory in 1982—and Kim's broad appeal following his dominant primary win amid Bob Menendez's corruption conviction and resignation. Early voting is underway statewide, with high turnout expected among urban and suburban Democratic strongholds. At 5.5%, Republican odds reflect steep barriers, though a late-breaking scandal, GOP surge in mail ballots, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the frontrunner before November 5 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Джерси
Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Джерси
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
93%
Республиканец
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
$0 Объем
93%
Республиканец
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Polling averages from Emerson College and Rutgers show Democratic nominee Andy Kim holding a consistent 20-point lead over Republican Curtis Bashaw in New Jersey's special Senate election, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win. This commanding position stems from the state's strong Democratic lean—last Republican Senate victory in 1982—and Kim's broad appeal following his dominant primary win amid Bob Menendez's corruption conviction and resignation. Early voting is underway statewide, with high turnout expected among urban and suburban Democratic strongholds. At 5.5%, Republican odds reflect steep barriers, though a late-breaking scandal, GOP surge in mail ballots, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the frontrunner before November 5 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Polling averages from Emerson College and Rutgers show Democratic nominee Andy Kim holding a consistent 20-point lead over Republican Curtis Bashaw in New Jersey's special Senate election, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win. This commanding position stems from the state's strong Democratic lean—last Republican Senate victory in 1982—and Kim's broad appeal following his dominant primary win amid Bob Menendez's corruption conviction and resignation. Early voting is underway statewide, with high turnout expected among urban and suburban Democratic strongholds. At 5.5%, Republican odds reflect steep barriers, though a late-breaking scandal, GOP surge in mail ballots, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the frontrunner before November 5 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polling averages from Emerson College and Rutgers show Democratic nominee Andy Kim holding a consistent 20-point lead over Republican Curtis Bashaw in New Jersey's special Senate election, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic win. This commanding position stems from the state's strong Democratic lean—last Republican Senate victory in 1982—and Kim's broad appeal following his dominant primary win amid Bob Menendez's corruption conviction and resignation. Early voting is underway statewide, with high turnout expected among urban and suburban Democratic strongholds. At 5.5%, Republican odds reflect steep barriers, though a late-breaking scandal, GOP surge in mail ballots, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the frontrunner before November 5 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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