Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 88% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its explosive private valuation surge to around $350 billion in a late-2024 tender offer, fueled by Starlink's booming satellite internet revenue exceeding $7 billion annually and Starship launch milestones reducing Mars ambitions' perceived risks. xAI trails at 25.5%, buoyed by Elon Musk's aggressive fundraising—$6 billion Series B in May 2024 valuing it at $24 billion post-money—and rapid AI model releases like Grok-2, positioning it as a high-growth contender amid the artificial intelligence boom. OpenAI and Anthropic hover at 4.7% each, reflecting their substantial but sub-$200 billion valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, while others like Databricks lag due to slower public market signals; watch for Q1 2025 funding rounds or regulatory shifts as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКрупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
SpaceX 88%
Anthropic 4.9%
OpenAI 4.7%
Discord <1%
$1,419,118 Объем
$1,419,118 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
88%
Anthropic
5%
OpenAI
5%
Discord
1%
Databricks
1%
Kraken
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SpaceX 88%
Anthropic 4.9%
OpenAI 4.7%
Discord <1%
$1,419,118 Объем
$1,419,118 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$174,301 Объем
88%
Anthropic
$168,041 Объем
5%
OpenAI
$292,968 Объем
5%
Discord
$66,376 Объем
1%
Databricks
$65,157 Объем
1%
Kraken
$368,921 Объем
1%
ByteDance
$82,692 Объем
<1%
Stripe
$36,040 Объем
<1%
SHEIN
$50,787 Объем
<1%
Revolut
$23,661 Объем
<1%
Waymo
$38,571 Объем
<1%
Perplexity AI
$51,603 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 88% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its explosive private valuation surge to around $350 billion in a late-2024 tender offer, fueled by Starlink's booming satellite internet revenue exceeding $7 billion annually and Starship launch milestones reducing Mars ambitions' perceived risks. xAI trails at 25.5%, buoyed by Elon Musk's aggressive fundraising—$6 billion Series B in May 2024 valuing it at $24 billion post-money—and rapid AI model releases like Grok-2, positioning it as a high-growth contender amid the artificial intelligence boom. OpenAI and Anthropic hover at 4.7% each, reflecting their substantial but sub-$200 billion valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, while others like Databricks lag due to slower public market signals; watch for Q1 2025 funding rounds or regulatory shifts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Объем
$1,419,118Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 88% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its explosive private valuation surge to around $350 billion in a late-2024 tender offer, fueled by Starlink's booming satellite internet revenue exceeding $7 billion annually and Starship launch milestones reducing Mars ambitions' perceived risks. xAI trails at 25.5%, buoyed by Elon Musk's aggressive fundraising—$6 billion Series B in May 2024 valuing it at $24 billion post-money—and rapid AI model releases like Grok-2, positioning it as a high-growth contender amid the artificial intelligence boom. OpenAI and Anthropic hover at 4.7% each, reflecting their substantial but sub-$200 billion valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, while others like Databricks lag due to slower public market signals; watch for Q1 2025 funding rounds or regulatory shifts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$1,419,118Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 88% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its explosive private valuation surge to around $350 billion in a late-2024 tender offer, fueled by Starlink's booming satellite internet revenue exceeding $7 billion annually and Starship launch milestones reducing Mars ambitions' perceived risks. xAI trails at 25.5%, buoyed by Elon Musk's aggressive fundraising—$6 billion Series B in May 2024 valuing it at $24 billion post-money—and rapid AI model releases like Grok-2, positioning it as a high-growth contender amid the artificial intelligence boom. OpenAI and Anthropic hover at 4.7% each, reflecting their substantial but sub-$200 billion valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, while others like Databricks lag due to slower public market signals; watch for Q1 2025 funding rounds or regulatory shifts as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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