Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its prospectus as soon as this week for a potential June debut, targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—eclipsing all rivals amid Starlink's 9 million subscribers and dominance in commercial launches. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, bolsters its space-plus-artificial intelligence infrastructure narrative, explaining xAI's secondary 25.5% odds despite cofounder departures. Lower probabilities for Anthropic (4.3%), OpenAI (4.0%), and others like Stripe reflect smaller rumored valuations ($380 billion for Anthropic) and less concrete timelines, with key catalysts including regulatory reviews and market conditions ahead of Q2 filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКрупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 4.3%
OpenAI 4.0%
Discord <1%
$1,620,807 Объем
$1,620,807 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
90%
Anthropic
4%
OpenAI
4%
Discord
1%
Stripe
1%
Kraken
1%
Databricks
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 4.3%
OpenAI 4.0%
Discord <1%
$1,620,807 Объем
$1,620,807 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$179,551 Объем
90%
Anthropic
$342,359 Объем
4%
OpenAI
$295,227 Объем
4%
Discord
$67,669 Объем
1%
Stripe
$37,268 Объем
1%
Kraken
$373,490 Объем
1%
Databricks
$67,252 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$84,069 Объем
<1%
Perplexity AI
$53,043 Объем
<1%
Waymo
$44,232 Объем
<1%
Revolut
$24,806 Объем
<1%
SHEIN
$51,842 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its prospectus as soon as this week for a potential June debut, targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—eclipsing all rivals amid Starlink's 9 million subscribers and dominance in commercial launches. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, bolsters its space-plus-artificial intelligence infrastructure narrative, explaining xAI's secondary 25.5% odds despite cofounder departures. Lower probabilities for Anthropic (4.3%), OpenAI (4.0%), and others like Stripe reflect smaller rumored valuations ($380 billion for Anthropic) and less concrete timelines, with key catalysts including regulatory reviews and market conditions ahead of Q2 filings.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Объем
$1,620,807Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its prospectus as soon as this week for a potential June debut, targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—eclipsing all rivals amid Starlink's 9 million subscribers and dominance in commercial launches. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, bolsters its space-plus-artificial intelligence infrastructure narrative, explaining xAI's secondary 25.5% odds despite cofounder departures. Lower probabilities for Anthropic (4.3%), OpenAI (4.0%), and others like Stripe reflect smaller rumored valuations ($380 billion for Anthropic) and less concrete timelines, with key catalysts including regulatory reviews and market conditions ahead of Q2 filings.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$1,620,807Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its prospectus as soon as this week for a potential June debut, targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—eclipsing all rivals amid Starlink's 9 million subscribers and dominance in commercial launches. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, bolsters its space-plus-artificial intelligence infrastructure narrative, explaining xAI's secondary 25.5% odds despite cofounder departures. Lower probabilities for Anthropic (4.3%), OpenAI (4.0%), and others like Stripe reflect smaller rumored valuations ($380 billion for Anthropic) and less concrete timelines, with key catalysts including regulatory reviews and market conditions ahead of Q2 filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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