Vice President JD Vance has engaged intermediaries from Pakistan on the Iran conflict as recently as Tuesday, amid U.S. efforts for a ceasefire following military operations that Vance claims have "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces. Iranian officials have expressed a preference for direct negotiations with Vance over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, potentially via Islamabad, as Tehran signals readiness to deal if U.S. demands on nuclear curbs and regional proxies are addressed. No in-person diplomatic meeting has materialized, with talks remaining indirect; upcoming developments, including possible Vance travel or Trump administration announcements, could catalyze progress or escalation before any market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in bridging hawkish U.S. red lines and Iran's conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДипломатическая встреча Джей Ди Вэнса с Ираном...?
Дипломатическая встреча Джей Ди Вэнса с Ираном...?
$270,180 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
10 апреля
3%
30 апреля
15%
$270,180 Объем
10 апреля
$97,740 Объем
3%
30 апреля
$13,391 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has engaged intermediaries from Pakistan on the Iran conflict as recently as Tuesday, amid U.S. efforts for a ceasefire following military operations that Vance claims have "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces. Iranian officials have expressed a preference for direct negotiations with Vance over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, potentially via Islamabad, as Tehran signals readiness to deal if U.S. demands on nuclear curbs and regional proxies are addressed. No in-person diplomatic meeting has materialized, with talks remaining indirect; upcoming developments, including possible Vance travel or Trump administration announcements, could catalyze progress or escalation before any market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in bridging hawkish U.S. red lines and Iran's conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Объем
$270,180Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has engaged intermediaries from Pakistan on the Iran conflict as recently as Tuesday, amid U.S. efforts for a ceasefire following military operations that Vance claims have "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces. Iranian officials have expressed a preference for direct negotiations with Vance over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, potentially via Islamabad, as Tehran signals readiness to deal if U.S. demands on nuclear curbs and regional proxies are addressed. No in-person diplomatic meeting has materialized, with talks remaining indirect; upcoming developments, including possible Vance travel or Trump administration announcements, could catalyze progress or escalation before any market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in bridging hawkish U.S. red lines and Iran's conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$270,180Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Vice President JD Vance has engaged intermediaries from Pakistan on the Iran conflict as recently as Tuesday, amid U.S. efforts for a ceasefire following military operations that Vance claims have "effectively destroyed" Iran's conventional forces. Iranian officials have expressed a preference for direct negotiations with Vance over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, potentially via Islamabad, as Tehran signals readiness to deal if U.S. demands on nuclear curbs and regional proxies are addressed. No in-person diplomatic meeting has materialized, with talks remaining indirect; upcoming developments, including possible Vance travel or Trump administration announcements, could catalyze progress or escalation before any market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in bridging hawkish U.S. red lines and Iran's conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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