Trader consensus reflects a 77% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's emphasis on a multinational International Stabilization Force rather than direct American boots on the ground. Recent developments include Kosovo's parliament approving a troop contribution on April 17 for the U.S.-backed Gaza force under the Board of Peace, alongside pledges from Albania, Indonesia, and others, signaling reliance on allies for postwar stabilization amid a fragile ceasefire. No official U.S. announcements confirm ground deployments into Gaza itself, with recent U.S. military additions—thousands of troops and carriers—focused on broader Middle East tensions, including Iran, rather than Gaza entry. Hamas rejections of disarmament and ongoing Israeli operations further complicate timelines for any force insertion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСилы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Силы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Да
$47,357 Объем
$47,357 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$47,357 Объем
$47,357 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects a 77% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's emphasis on a multinational International Stabilization Force rather than direct American boots on the ground. Recent developments include Kosovo's parliament approving a troop contribution on April 17 for the U.S.-backed Gaza force under the Board of Peace, alongside pledges from Albania, Indonesia, and others, signaling reliance on allies for postwar stabilization amid a fragile ceasefire. No official U.S. announcements confirm ground deployments into Gaza itself, with recent U.S. military additions—thousands of troops and carriers—focused on broader Middle East tensions, including Iran, rather than Gaza entry. Hamas rejections of disarmament and ongoing Israeli operations further complicate timelines for any force insertion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Объем
$47,357Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects a 77% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's emphasis on a multinational International Stabilization Force rather than direct American boots on the ground. Recent developments include Kosovo's parliament approving a troop contribution on April 17 for the U.S.-backed Gaza force under the Board of Peace, alongside pledges from Albania, Indonesia, and others, signaling reliance on allies for postwar stabilization amid a fragile ceasefire. No official U.S. announcements confirm ground deployments into Gaza itself, with recent U.S. military additions—thousands of troops and carriers—focused on broader Middle East tensions, including Iran, rather than Gaza entry. Hamas rejections of disarmament and ongoing Israeli operations further complicate timelines for any force insertion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$47,357Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 77% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's emphasis on a multinational International Stabilization Force rather than direct American boots on the ground. Recent developments include Kosovo's parliament approving a troop contribution on April 17 for the U.S.-backed Gaza force under the Board of Peace, alongside pledges from Albania, Indonesia, and others, signaling reliance on allies for postwar stabilization amid a fragile ceasefire. No official U.S. announcements confirm ground deployments into Gaza itself, with recent U.S. military additions—thousands of troops and carriers—focused on broader Middle East tensions, including Iran, rather than Gaza entry. Hamas rejections of disarmament and ongoing Israeli operations further complicate timelines for any force insertion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы