Ongoing battlefield stalemate, failed U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier this year, and persistent Russian rejection of Ukrainian ceasefire proposals continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a signed peace deal before 2027. Core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and NATO alignment remain unresolved despite multiple negotiation rounds since late 2025. Russian forces have sustained operations into the conflict's fifth year, while Ukrainian counter-drone tactics and incremental front-line adjustments have prevented decisive gains by either side. Economic strains in Russia and external distractions have not yet produced the concessions needed for agreement, leaving the path to formal resolution uncertain through the remainder of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$2,112,412 Объем
$2,112,412 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$2,112,412 Объем
$2,112,412 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing battlefield stalemate, failed U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier this year, and persistent Russian rejection of Ukrainian ceasefire proposals continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a signed peace deal before 2027. Core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and NATO alignment remain unresolved despite multiple negotiation rounds since late 2025. Russian forces have sustained operations into the conflict's fifth year, while Ukrainian counter-drone tactics and incremental front-line adjustments have prevented decisive gains by either side. Economic strains in Russia and external distractions have not yet produced the concessions needed for agreement, leaving the path to formal resolution uncertain through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Объем
$2,112,412Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing battlefield stalemate, failed U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier this year, and persistent Russian rejection of Ukrainian ceasefire proposals continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a signed peace deal before 2027. Core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and NATO alignment remain unresolved despite multiple negotiation rounds since late 2025. Russian forces have sustained operations into the conflict's fifth year, while Ukrainian counter-drone tactics and incremental front-line adjustments have prevented decisive gains by either side. Economic strains in Russia and external distractions have not yet produced the concessions needed for agreement, leaving the path to formal resolution uncertain through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,112,696Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing battlefield stalemate, failed U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier this year, and persistent Russian rejection of Ukrainian ceasefire proposals continue to shape trader views on the low likelihood of a signed peace deal before 2027. Core disputes over territorial control, security guarantees, and NATO alignment remain unresolved despite multiple negotiation rounds since late 2025. Russian forces have sustained operations into the conflict's fifth year, while Ukrainian counter-drone tactics and incremental front-line adjustments have prevented decisive gains by either side. Economic strains in Russia and external distractions have not yet produced the concessions needed for agreement, leaving the path to formal resolution uncertain through the remainder of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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