Martial law imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion constitutionally bars Ukraine from holding presidential elections, keeping President Zelenskyy in office beyond his May 2024 term expiration under Article 108, anchoring trader consensus against near-term election calls. Recent U.S. leadership transition has sparked Republican calls tying aid to democratic reforms, but Zelenskyy insists polls require restored territorial control and security first, with no snap vote scheduled. Markets reflect low implied probabilities for prompt action amid frontline stalemates, though potential Trump-brokered ceasefires or EU summits in early 2025 could shift dynamics if martial law lifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,433,024 Объем
Dec 31, 2025
31 марта 2026 года
1%
30 июня 2026 года
11%
$1,433,024 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
$249,016 Объем
1%
30 июня 2026 года
$201,291 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ET
Объем
$1,433,024Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,433,024Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Martial law imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion constitutionally bars Ukraine from holding presidential elections, keeping President Zelenskyy in office beyond his May 2024 term expiration under Article 108, anchoring trader consensus against near-term election calls. Recent U.S. leadership transition has sparked Republican calls tying aid to democratic reforms, but Zelenskyy insists polls require restored territorial control and security first, with no snap vote scheduled. Markets reflect low implied probabilities for prompt action amid frontline stalemates, though potential Trump-brokered ceasefires or EU summits in early 2025 could shift dynamics if martial law lifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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