Ukraine's presidential election remains indefinitely postponed under martial law imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion, with the constitution barring votes during such periods; parliament most recently extended the measure on August 23 for 90 days, keeping President Zelenskyy in office beyond his May term end. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low near-term probabilities, driven by Zelenskyy's insistence on post-victory polls amid ongoing frontline risks and logistical challenges like millions displaced or serving abroad. Upcoming catalysts include the Verkhovna Rada's expected mid-November martial law vote and the U.S. presidential election on November 5, where a Trump victory could intensify pressure for wartime voting via aid conditions, though Kyiv prioritizes security over electoral timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,432,979 Объем

31 марта 2026 года
1%

30 июня 2026 года
10%
$1,432,979 Объем

31 марта 2026 года
1%

30 июня 2026 года
10%
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 1, 2025, 7:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's presidential election remains indefinitely postponed under martial law imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion, with the constitution barring votes during such periods; parliament most recently extended the measure on August 23 for 90 days, keeping President Zelenskyy in office beyond his May term end. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low near-term probabilities, driven by Zelenskyy's insistence on post-victory polls amid ongoing frontline risks and logistical challenges like millions displaced or serving abroad. Upcoming catalysts include the Verkhovna Rada's expected mid-November martial law vote and the U.S. presidential election on November 5, where a Trump victory could intensify pressure for wartime voting via aid conditions, though Kyiv prioritizes security over electoral timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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