Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during martial law, imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion and repeatedly extended amid ongoing frontline fighting, automatically extending President Zelenskyy's term until 90 days after martial law lifts. Traders' 79.5% "No" probability reflects this legal barrier, with no snap election or resignation signals despite war weariness evident in recent polls showing Zelenskyy's approval around 50-60%. Absent a ceasefire or major diplomatic breakthrough—such as potential U.S.-led negotiations under the incoming Trump administration—elections remain unlikely by end-2026. Opposition remains fragmented, lacking a consensus challenger, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$1,954,259 Объем
$1,954,259 Объем
Да
$1,954,259 Объем
$1,954,259 Объем
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during martial law, imposed since Russia's 2022 invasion and repeatedly extended amid ongoing frontline fighting, automatically extending President Zelenskyy's term until 90 days after martial law lifts. Traders' 79.5% "No" probability reflects this legal barrier, with no snap election or resignation signals despite war weariness evident in recent polls showing Zelenskyy's approval around 50-60%. Absent a ceasefire or major diplomatic breakthrough—such as potential U.S.-led negotiations under the incoming Trump administration—elections remain unlikely by end-2026. Opposition remains fragmented, lacking a consensus challenger, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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