Russian forces have intensified assaults in the Siversk direction of Donetsk Oblast, capturing nearby hamlets like Novoie and advancing to within 1-2 kilometers of Viroliubivka over the past week, according to geolocated footage and frontline reports. Ukrainian troops maintain defensive positions amid heavy artillery duels and drone strikes, but manpower shortages and ammunition constraints have slowed counteroffensives. No confirmed entry into the village has occurred in the last 48 hours, with trader consensus reflecting cautious optimism for Russian incremental gains based on recent territorial wins. Key factors include potential Ukrainian reinforcements or Russian escalation via airstrikes; upcoming developments like adverse weather or aid deliveries could tip the balance before any resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРоссия захватит Виролюбовку...?
Россия захватит Виролюбовку...?
$14,199 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
31 марта
3%
30 апреля
12%
$14,199 Объем
31 марта
$10,511 Объем
3%
30 апреля
$3,688 Объем
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have intensified assaults in the Siversk direction of Donetsk Oblast, capturing nearby hamlets like Novoie and advancing to within 1-2 kilometers of Viroliubivka over the past week, according to geolocated footage and frontline reports. Ukrainian troops maintain defensive positions amid heavy artillery duels and drone strikes, but manpower shortages and ammunition constraints have slowed counteroffensives. No confirmed entry into the village has occurred in the last 48 hours, with trader consensus reflecting cautious optimism for Russian incremental gains based on recent territorial wins. Key factors include potential Ukrainian reinforcements or Russian escalation via airstrikes; upcoming developments like adverse weather or aid deliveries could tip the balance before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Mar 6, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Объем
$14,199Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have intensified assaults in the Siversk direction of Donetsk Oblast, capturing nearby hamlets like Novoie and advancing to within 1-2 kilometers of Viroliubivka over the past week, according to geolocated footage and frontline reports. Ukrainian troops maintain defensive positions amid heavy artillery duels and drone strikes, but manpower shortages and ammunition constraints have slowed counteroffensives. No confirmed entry into the village has occurred in the last 48 hours, with trader consensus reflecting cautious optimism for Russian incremental gains based on recent territorial wins. Key factors include potential Ukrainian reinforcements or Russian escalation via airstrikes; upcoming developments like adverse weather or aid deliveries could tip the balance before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.608982° N, 37.720231° E in Viroliubivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+1.png
Intersection Location in Viroliubivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+2.png
Viroliubivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vir+3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Nj4j57W7EW9qUPmRA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Объем
$14,199Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified assaults in the Siversk direction of Donetsk Oblast, capturing nearby hamlets like Novoie and advancing to within 1-2 kilometers of Viroliubivka over the past week, according to geolocated footage and frontline reports. Ukrainian troops maintain defensive positions amid heavy artillery duels and drone strikes, but manpower shortages and ammunition constraints have slowed counteroffensives. No confirmed entry into the village has occurred in the last 48 hours, with trader consensus reflecting cautious optimism for Russian incremental gains based on recent territorial wins. Key factors include potential Ukrainian reinforcements or Russian escalation via airstrikes; upcoming developments like adverse weather or aid deliveries could tip the balance before any resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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