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Политика·оборона

Отправит ли Трамп «Томагавк» в Украину...?

Market icon
Политика·оборона

Отправит ли Трамп «Томагавк» в Украину...?

$602,426 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$602,426 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта 2026 года

$102,004 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.President Trump's administration rejected Ukraine's repeated requests for long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles despite Pentagon clearance in late October 2025 and Zelenskyy's direct appeal during their October meeting, with Trump signaling reluctance to escalate the conflict and favoring diplomatic peace talks. No transfers occurred amid concerns over Russian retaliation and de-escalation signals. Recent US military operations against Iran have depleted over 850 Tomahawk missiles in four weeks as of March 27, 2026, alarming Pentagon officials and prompting warnings of delays in Ukraine aid shipments to replenish stockpiles. Senator Lindsey Graham urged provision on February 3, but Middle East priorities dominate; ongoing Iran tensions and potential congressional appropriations votes could further impact timelines.

President Trump's administration rejected Ukraine's repeated requests for long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles despite Pentagon clearance in late October 2025 and Zelenskyy's direct appeal during their October meeting, with Trump signaling reluctance to escalate the conflict and favoring diplomatic peace talks. No transfers occurred amid concerns over Russian retaliation and de-escalation signals. Recent US military operations against Iran have depleted over 850 Tomahawk missiles in four weeks as of March 27, 2026, alarming Pentagon officials and prompting warnings of delays in Ukraine aid shipments to replenish stockpiles. Senator Lindsey Graham urged provision on February 3, but Middle East priorities dominate; ongoing Iran tensions and potential congressional appropriations votes could further impact timelines.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.President Trump's administration rejected Ukraine's repeated requests for long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles despite Pentagon clearance in late October 2025 and Zelenskyy's direct appeal during their October meeting, with Trump signaling reluctance to escalate the conflict and favoring diplomatic peace talks. No transfers occurred amid concerns over Russian retaliation and de-escalation signals. Recent US military operations against Iran have depleted over 850 Tomahawk missiles in four weeks as of March 27, 2026, alarming Pentagon officials and prompting warnings of delays in Ukraine aid shipments to replenish stockpiles. Senator Lindsey Graham urged provision on February 3, but Middle East priorities dominate; ongoing Iran tensions and potential congressional appropriations votes could further impact timelines.

President Trump's administration rejected Ukraine's repeated requests for long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles despite Pentagon clearance in late October 2025 and Zelenskyy's direct appeal during their October meeting, with Trump signaling reluctance to escalate the conflict and favoring diplomatic peace talks. No transfers occurred amid concerns over Russian retaliation and de-escalation signals. Recent US military operations against Iran have depleted over 850 Tomahawk missiles in four weeks as of March 27, 2026, alarming Pentagon officials and prompting warnings of delays in Ukraine aid shipments to replenish stockpiles. Senator Lindsey Graham urged provision on February 3, but Middle East priorities dominate; ongoing Iran tensions and potential congressional appropriations votes could further impact timelines.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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«Отправит ли Трамп «Томагавк» в Украину...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 марта 2026 года» с 1%, за ним следует «31 октября» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 1¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 1%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Отправит ли Трамп «Томагавк» в Украину...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $602.4K с момента запуска рынка Oct 15, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Отправит ли Трамп «Томагавк» в Украину...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Отправит ли Трамп «Томагавк» в Украину...?» — «31 марта 2026 года» всего с 1%, а «31 октября» близко позади с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Отправит ли Трамп «Томагавк» в Украину...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.