Trader consensus gives a 94% implied probability that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain Ukraine's leader through June 30, 2026, reflecting the ongoing Russian invasion and martial law extensions that constitutionally bar presidential elections. Zelenskyy stated in mid-February 2026 that no early vote can occur without a ceasefire and credible security guarantees from partners, a stance unchanged amid stalled peace talks and front-line stalemates. No resignation announcements, impeachment moves, or snap election signals have surfaced in recent weeks, despite periodic Western calls for polls. While rapid de-escalation or internal pressures could alter dynamics, the entrenched war footing underpins traders' strong expectation of continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$136,101 Объем
$136,101 Объем
Да
$136,101 Объем
$136,101 Объем
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives a 94% implied probability that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain Ukraine's leader through June 30, 2026, reflecting the ongoing Russian invasion and martial law extensions that constitutionally bar presidential elections. Zelenskyy stated in mid-February 2026 that no early vote can occur without a ceasefire and credible security guarantees from partners, a stance unchanged amid stalled peace talks and front-line stalemates. No resignation announcements, impeachment moves, or snap election signals have surfaced in recent weeks, despite periodic Western calls for polls. While rapid de-escalation or internal pressures could alter dynamics, the entrenched war footing underpins traders' strong expectation of continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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