Trader consensus reflects a 93.5% implied probability that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office through June 30, 2026, driven by ongoing martial law—extended by parliament until May 4—which constitutionally bars presidential elections until lifted, requiring at least six months' preparation post-ceasefire. Recent statements from Zelenskyy affirm elections only after security guarantees and a ceasefire, defying U.S. pressure under President Trump for a 2026 vote amid fading domestic popularity. No verified resignation plans, coup risks, or snap election triggers have emerged in the past month, with the Russia-Ukraine conflict showing no de-escalation signals; late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or health events could shift odds, but structural barriers favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$130,010 Объем
$130,010 Объем
Да
$130,010 Объем
$130,010 Объем
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 93.5% implied probability that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office through June 30, 2026, driven by ongoing martial law—extended by parliament until May 4—which constitutionally bars presidential elections until lifted, requiring at least six months' preparation post-ceasefire. Recent statements from Zelenskyy affirm elections only after security guarantees and a ceasefire, defying U.S. pressure under President Trump for a 2026 vote amid fading domestic popularity. No verified resignation plans, coup risks, or snap election triggers have emerged in the past month, with the Russia-Ukraine conflict showing no de-escalation signals; late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or health events could shift odds, but structural barriers favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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